326 Pitt -6.5 3 weight, very good bet

326 Pitt -6.5 3 weight, very good bet I expect South Florida to get rolled here.

Pitt Play Wannstedt is a horrible home havorite the last 3 1/2 years but in this case Pittsburgh is clearly the better team and should win by double digits. South Florida has only played well in one game this season. Pittsburgh has only had one bad quarter. Get it while it's hot.

[QUOTE=Abilene Cowboy;6370]South Florida has only played well in one game this season.[/QUOTE] Just for my entertainment what is that one game they played well in?

That would be FLORIDA STATE. Do you remember that game?

Yes figured that was the game you were talking about but wanted to make sure. They did dominate that game. So the first 3 games of the season where they outgained their opponents by close to 3 yppl per game were bad performaces? How bad would you like them to beat the 1aa teams and Western Kentucky? The game against Syracuse they outgained the Orange 6.2 to 4.3 yppl which is a pretty good performance. Against Cincinnati who I have rated to the moon as AB would say they were outgained by 5.2 to 5.7 yppl which is pretty close to what I projected. So you tell me how they played bad in 5 of their 6 games please.

Freshman QB looked pretty shaky vs. Cincy at home - had FSU at home too. Now goes on road to Pitt. Hate to bet with Wandstedt but I loved this play when I saw it. Then a dog player I respect on another forum came in with SF, but this will put me back on it.

South Florida The South Florida - FSU game was in Tallahassee. When you look at YYP a la Dr Bob sometimes you are mislead. Cincinnati ran through holes the size of trash dumpsters. They dominated the game. South Florida's DL and LB's are nothing close to what they were a few years ago.Their OL is mediocre. South Florida gained a lot of their yards via garbage time, late in the game versus Cincinnati. I throw out games versus 1AA opponents. They mean nothing at all. Syracuse is awful also and probably wouldn't be in the top 10 in 1AA. South Florida gains a lot of yards a la QB scrambles. Those types of gains are generally negated versus better oponents. Their RB's stink and their WR's are less than ordinary. Is their anything else you want to know now about South Florida?

doesnt appear at this time that the market agrees

Stats bettors are going to keep banging the drum with SoFlo at +7 imo. This game looks to be all about how much you handicap the situational stuff with SoFlo not fairing well after having their bubble burst.

I know Pags11 on another forum is on SF and he has a large following. Seen others on SF too. Hope it moves to 6. I thought when Pike went out in Cincy game that SF would roll, but they got overpowered by Cincy in 2nd half - at home. The last three years they have faded badly about this time and I'll bet they do again. Hate betting on Wanstedt ever but I think the freshman QB will struggle on the road here - and Pitts offense, with that new RB, will score and put pressure on SF to score often which will lead to TO's. I don't cap but when I saw this line I thought same thing as Fezzik here. I also think Oklahoma will roll KU as well. That KU defense is a sive and Okl D will contain Resse IMO.