Alf M's NFL Thread Week #2

Alf M's NFL Thread Week #2 [B]211 Baltimore -1 -115[/B] [B]233 New England -1 -115[/B] The Jets just lost their best DL Kris Jenkinis out for the year. They had 14 penalties against Baltimore. They spent the off-season putting together a reality show "Hardknocks." The head coach says they will win the Super Bowl and now CB Reavis says "Randy Moss is a slouch!" The Jets do allot of talking for a team that produced just 6 first downs on MNF. They are out of shape and it showed in the 4Q. For the likes of me I cannot name a Jets WR, I think they have a couple and a TE but are never found. If the defense doesn't outscore the Patriots this could get ugly. They have a short week to prepare and took a physical pounding vs. the Ravens defense. Last week we had the Over in the NE/CIN game and I thought the Pats defense was vastly overrated. If the defense plays half as good as they did vs the Bengals they win this game easy IMO. The defense is the key. [B]220 Carolina -3 -125[/B] The Panthers have an improving young agressive "D" and although they fell apart late vs. the NYG LW, it was the 5 turnovers that ultimately cost them the game. QB Matt Moore is back practicing after a concussion and he is the better option than Jimmy Clausen who was brutal in pre-season action. Tampa Bay has no talent. Their QB Josh Freeman is playing with an injured thumb and he is erratic at best. They were down 14-3 to Cleveland and then they benefited from 2 INTs. Turnovers are very difficult to predict and handicap. Tampa wins and Carolina loses because of the turnover battle and we'll use that value built in the line to our advantage. Tampa is rebuilding, while Carolina has so much to work with and expect to see the RB duo of Stewart and Williams to have a big game. The Panthers are 4-1 SUP and ATS L5 vs. the Bucs. [B]Teaser play of the Week[/B] [B]6 pt Teaser[/B] [B]Dallas -1.5 with San Diego -1[/B] Both teams make their regular season home debut after a road loss. Both teams lost controversial games that could have been won late. We expect a huge effort by two teams that should be top of their division. The Cowboys have a far superior defense and especially secondary to that of the Lions and my handicap shows this will be the difference in the game. Cutler and company was able to post 362 yards passing, that won't happen here unless the Bears are forced to pass most of the 2nd half if they are way behind in the game. Good teams bounce back after tough losses and if WR Malcom Floyd doesn't fall down in the endzone due to wet conditions, the Chargers win in O.T. Jax is a .500 team and they'll win the odd game at home, but this spot, traveling across the country playing on the road in perhaps the nosiest stadium in the NFL (I've been to most of them and QUALCOMM is at the top of my list) I don't see them winning here at all. We don't want to lay a TD or more with either team and these are obvious teaser spots/numbers.