[QUOTE=bkeiller;28176]Just wondering if some of the veterans could shed any light on certain teams winning and losing with seemingly no rhyme or reason. There were 5 teams which all had lost on the road in week 1 and were coming home to play an inferior (on paper) team. The Cowboys and Minnesota lose outright and San Diego, Indy and Atlanta all blow them out. Seems random.[/QUOTE]
If you go back over history and look, teams coming home after a week one loss are less than .500 ATS in the second game. I'm saying this from memory and I believe I had looked at teams that lost as favorites as well but can't remember exactly what I looked up. Point being I don't believe there is any history suggesting these teams cover the spread at a high rate.
But, Chicago is better than most thought. Their front seven appear to be very good and their offense looks pretty decent. Combine that with a Cowboy team that struggled in week one and all of last year to put points on the board after accumulating a lot of yards and Chicago ends up being a good play.
Minnesota surprised me a bit but their offense is really struggling right now so, in hindsight, laying any points with them is tough. And, Miami is always going to play you tough.
SD out played KC last week badly but the special teams killed them. Meanwhile, Denver actually had better stats than Jacksonville in their game. I actually had Jacksonville (obvious bad pick) but their pass d was brutal last year. I thought maybe they could get better pressure with their "new" defensive line but they made way too many turnovers.
Arizona actually played well in week one but turned the ball over or their score would have been much different. Atlanta lost a tough game at Pittsburgh. I had Arizona as well and was another obvious bad pick. Explanation there is Atlanta lost to a really good team in Pittsburgh (their defense is back) and Arizona played well against the Rams but the Rams are terrible. Atlanta is also a much different team at home than on the road.
My two cents
