Too early for me to tell but my early thoughts were the Jets. But, as someone who bleeds green and gold, I have a pretty good pulse on GB right now and have gone against them this year so certainly not a homer when it comes to their games.
Something that amazed me on the Sunday night game that was never mentioned was GB played without all of their starting d line from last year and without 2/3rds of their d line from this year. Cullen Jenkins hurt his calf before the game (BUT after inactives were reported) and Ryan Pickett reinjured his ankle on the second series and missed the rest of the game. The Packers were down to three d line for the rest of the game, which is partly why Minnesota ran through them. Imagine the Vikings playing without 3 or 4 of those d line man. So, I thought they played well despite that.
If the Packers lose this game it's less important because its a non conference game. Sounds like Jenkins will be out a while - don't know on Pickett yet. Raji has played a ton of snaps for them this year and done a great job all things considered.
They may get Al Harris and Atari Bigby back this week which will help their secondary quite a bit and may help in the run defense with Bigby who knows how to play the run.
But, without a strong d line, which is exceptional when healthy, they may struggle against the Jets pounding (even though in this scheme it's the linebackers making the plays as the d line take up blockers). GB has lost all three games by three points so they are getting a healthy dose of points here and their offense (if they can click) can put points on the board. I don't think the Jets d will completely shut them down and remember they don't have to run the ball to be effective. Short passes work just as well for them and Jackson is actually averaging 4.6 ypr before this last game and that number came down some. They can't run the ball when they have to but can find opportunities to do so thoughout the game.
Early lean would be with the Jets and I may decide that is even stronger as the week goes on but the replacements GB has on defense at linebacker are capable.
Detroit put yards on them but they threw a ton and their yards per play were nothing out of the aveage so that is a little misleading.
Again, Packers can afford to lose this and come home and Dallas looks very winnable without Romo and then they have their bye week.
I think you're on the right track.
Good luck.
