Anyone here purchase sharp football analysis?

when does the sports monitor show the plays of the people they are monitoring?

forget people who have RED---BLUE---GREEN---PURPLE---CLUBS. all you need are the plays without anything else attached to it. if you play it and it wins you win the same amount no matter if it wins by half a point or 50 points. post like they do the leroy's money talks contest. seven plays---nothing attached. they only put in that BEST BET GAME,so that they can you it as a TIEBREAKER.

Yawn..... No one in the world has managed to hit a documented 56% ATS vs. widely available numbers. But THIS guy magically can hit over 70%. Someone who is subcribing (and believes) please post his plays (after they kickoff) at kickoff, going forward. Call me jaded. The world is FULL of 'big winners' who 'posted' 70% ATS, and come out of nowhere, and/or who win contests with 66% aTS records. But as soon as you discover them, and start betting them, what do you get? Heartache Mitch. Heartache. Obvously, any legit 60% capper would LOVE to show me up, and would just start putting his plays up here....OR take me up on my offer, where FOR YEARS I've posted that I will bet anyone they cannot hit 57% in any one year in the Hilton contest. Number of takers: Bagel. Donut. Goose-egg. ZERO! Ps. WARNING ON RECORDS. I've heard some cappers are lately manipulating their documented records, simply by only releasing the largest moving games. They wait for a line to move 3 points and then they give that play out. Some of the less reliable monitors give them the best number available on the game on the day of release. Obviously, this little trick does WONDERS for a 'documented' win rate. One other note. It's amazing how no savvy, respected veteran ever comes close to win rates like these. But 'hot shot newcomers' every year come out of nowhere, and everyone wants to believe they are next coming of Christ. Yosh at SharpSportsBetting. Hit 60% plus on his posted plays all legit. They made him a host. He got his ass kicked the next year. When you have literally thousands of guys posting plays on sites, someone is going to have a 70-37 run.........

This maybe to good to be true but I bought this weeks picks and will post them at kick off. I played them small because they will probally tank. I agree with fezz that this is to good to be true.:cool:

You act as though if he doesn't hit 67% from this day forward, that it didn't happen. Surely you understand variance better than that. Posting his plays here after kickoff going forward won't prove anything. His documented plays do and have. What motivation would I have to lie about this? And what do his subscribers care if he releases after the line moves 3 points? They still get to play it. He never claimed he picked 66% in the Hilton contest. Why is it obvious that any 60% capper would love to show you up? Has it occured to you that he might not give a second thought as to what you think?

[QUOTE=tribecalledjeff;5874]You act as though if he doesn't hit 67% from this day forward, that it didn't happen. Surely you understand variance better than that. Posting his plays here after kickoff going forward won't prove anything. His documented plays do and have. What motivation would I have to lie about this? And what do his subscribers care if he releases after the line moves 3 points? They still get to play it. He never claimed he picked 66% in the Hilton contest. Why is it obvious that any 60% capper would love to show you up? Has it occured to you that he might not give a second thought as to what you think?[/QUOTE] I totally disagree that posting his plays after kickoff doesn't mean anything. If he can hit 67%, then what does it matter? I am goint to post the plays with the spreads/totals he listed on his website.

Nothing wrong with posting, and if I'm around Sunday at 1:05 I'll post them also. At what sample size of your posting here, in your opinion, does posting a handful of plays a week validate or invalidate 355 documented games?

A 1 year 70% run means nothing Flip 100 coins enough times, and you will find a 70-30 run. IMO, THEN you erase the likely variance helped record, and start fresh. If you have a legit winner, he will sail into the black in short order....... THAT is the way to try to find a winning capper. Aok to post his plays at kickoff along with the release times and lines at the time. The fact no one in the public domain has been able to hit 55.8% does not prove someone cannot hit 60%, but common sense says that it is SO much harder to hit 58% than 56% it is hard to believe the person exists. It would be like finding a 10 foot tall person.........or a guy that run a mile in 3:14 CAVEAT: Certainly anyone playing props/totals at open could hit 60%. I'm talking about NFL sides and totals, and college sides and totals in mid to late week and later markets.

So variance might have influenced the 355 plays, but it won't influence the the next 50? A 66% capper could very easily go on a 60 game run where he went 20-40. That doesn't disprove anything. That is much more likely to be variance than the first 355 games. Just as you say a 1 year 70% run means nothing, neither would a 40% run for the rest of the season prove that this guy isn't a 66% capper. Nor would a 66% run the rest of this year prove that he is. Not saying he is or isn't, but your logic here is ridiculously wrong.

I assure you no one goes 70% over 300 + plays If this guy DID go it, and is legit, CONGRATS, you have found the Holy Grail....... More likely he had a nice 100 play or so run and manufactured a great past posted record..... The best example I could give is myself: 2008: Hilton 54-26 2008: LeRoys College 54-31 2005: LeRoys College 56-28 2006: Beat Bogdonovich 63% ATS 2007: Emerald Bay Galatica Plays 11-1 You get the idea. The truth is my overall record has been around 54%. But I would have no problem 'proving' I was a 65% capper with 'documented' results as shown above. 60% cappers don't suddenly go 20-40 also......... they tend to go 54-46 or 65-35 ish over their next 100 plays.