Argos/Blue Bombers tonight Lots of different things going on here creates a unique handicapping situation. Here are some of the factors I see and what I played. It will be instructive for me how this plays out and whether any of these angles or thoughts end up working out as expected or completely opposite of expected---at least for me.
(1) Winnipeg is playing its 4th straight road game I understand to start the season. Has to be a 1st for any pro football league isn't it? Maybe not but it does seem awfully unique. Usually a 3rd straight road game in the NFL spells doom. Canada is a bigger country too. They cover a lot of ground and with a game here on a Wednesday there can't be even an average of 7 nights rest over the 4 games.
(2) Alex Brink starting at QB for Winnipeg. He's the back up.
(3) Argos working on rest only from last Saturday night for this game. Once again unusual not unheard of for the CFL but only 4 nights rest after a major division rival game against Hamilton on Saturday.
(4) Noel Prefontaine Argos kicker is out replaced by someone I've never heard of. His kicking hadn't been great but many FG were turning into singles or returned TD for Noel.
The spread line has gone from under 7 to 8.5 as the Argos have been annointed the right side of this game but I do think the 4 days rest and the emotional after effects of playing Hamilton may not have them at their best. However, the WPG situation does seem to lend itself to perhaps an abominable performance but with a motivated QB, a 0-3 record as well perhaps there will be some desperation.
I wish I had the good number on the Argos but I believe maybe the number is just too high especially now at 8.5. I really think the original oddsmaker has got the angle on the 4th road game covered. I just doubt Winnipeg is that bad a team but maybe they are.
I did bet under 53 though. This isn't a bad number not sure available now. WPG D has been horrible I just think they might play better tonight. The Argos have done well on the ground with Boyd. I like the tired angle, the WPG D motivation angle to keep it under. I doubt the Argos D is as good as their numbers which is tied for lowest yards allowed I think but hoping they hold up here against Brink in his start.
