Ariz +3/ unbelievable NON Cover

Ariz +3/ unbelievable NON Cover Well, You bet Pac 10 football and once again Arizona screws you again. The dumb ass QB catchs a tip ball, then throws it again..illegal forward pass...and knocks them out of FG ranger...then on 4 and long, Arizona does get the first time...1:30 to go, Cal doesnt take a knee, and the RB goes 65 yards for the cover... Un freaking believable
This was an Eight of Clubs play for me. What do you guys always say? "We move on?"
Arrrrghhh.... Saturday evenings the last few weeks, I should really just turn the computer off at 7 and go drink
Try and cash that Arizona ticket anyway....

Perhaps you need a bit more equanimity in critiquing your own plays. You bet a ranked dog over an unranked fave--a "trap" situation. You were on the consensus dog--another bad situation. In fairness, this is double counting because the ranked dog is usualy also the public choice. It's easy to say "eight of clubs," but that is way short on justification for a bet. Many winning bettors (including myself) would much rather chase steam than fade it. This is especially true when it is steam on an unpopular choice. I didn't watch a single down, but it seems like you're looking to layoff blame for the loss. You can fool yourself, but it can be very expensive. When I heard an ESPN announcer say "and Cal upset Arizona..."--knowing Cal was the fave, I knew I had the right side.
I think you had the wrong side. With 1 minute left, the chance of Cal covering -2.5 was probably less than 5%. Cal was up 2. AZ had the ball around Cal's 30 on about 3rd and 10. The QB throws it and it gets batted back to him. He throws it again which is loss of down, spot foul + 5 yards. So this puts them around the 50 - can't try for a FG. Go on 4th and don't make it. Now with 1:20 left and AZ with 1 time out, Cal runs the ball. 60+ yard TD. The chance of all that happening is virtually 0. In truth, neither side was likely right as the game flip flopped the whole 4th quarter. I doubt either side was 54+% to cover.
[QUOTE=rhinoceros;9355]Perhaps you need a bit more equanimity in critiquing your own plays. You bet a ranked dog over an unranked fave--a "trap" situation. You were on the consensus dog--another bad situation. In fairness, this is double counting because the ranked dog is usualy also the public choice. It's easy to say "eight of clubs," but that is way short on justification for a bet. Many winning bettors (including myself) would much rather chase steam than fade it. This is especially true when it is steam on an unpopular choice. I didn't watch a single down, but it seems like you're looking to layoff blame for the loss. You can fool yourself, but it can be very expensive. When I heard an ESPN announcer say "and Cal upset Arizona..."--knowing Cal was the fave, I knew I had the right side.[/QUOTE] I don't remember you posting a play on Cal BEFORE the game ended. In fact, I don't recall you ever posting a play.
if u were against the golfer u were on the wrong side.... Golfer got the money the Bears.
[QUOTE=sean1;9363] In truth, neither side was likely right as the game flip flopped the whole 4th quarter. I doubt either side was 54+% to cover.[/QUOTE] Bingo. I played AZ at the best time possible (+3), but this was a game to pass.