Baseball bet I like I like Tampa Bay tonight. Usually "spoiler" talk seems like something to ignore to me, I don't think so when Tampa says it about Boston. There has been bad blood there between the teams for years. Boston also effectively ended Tampas slim playoff hopes recently by taking 2 of 3 in Tampa, a last ditch series for Tampa. Lester has pitched a little better than Shields this year, but not much difference between them. Tampa is a very big dog +175 or +180 or so. I like Tampa 1st five innings, red sox bullpen is a lot better and they play well at home and could rally for a needed win. But I like Tampa as a big underdog on the "1st 5 innings" line. +165 or so. Shields is close in talent with Lester. Should be closer than the line would indicate.