Bellidick and KC IDIOT coach

Bellidick and KC IDIOT coach Can anyone please give me some reason why the KC coach is calling time outs with 4 min left down 24 with NE on your 25. Brutal bad beat on KC tease +24 1/2 and NE TT und 32 1/2. Wow. And then of course Bellidick THROWS the ball on 3rd with a minute left at the 1 and after a penalty the RB goes out of bounds.

Whomever is teasing KC to +24.5 deserves to lose.

[QUOTE=Justin1820;48502]Whomever is teasing KC to +24.5 deserves to lose.[/QUOTE] Really?? So when my local who pays +100 on 2 team 6 pt. teases puts up a bad number of 18 1/2 I deserve to lose when I wrap it with other plays. Personal attacks like this are why people dont like to post. And I guess I would have been better teasing NE to -12 1/2 since that was the winning side and you KNEW this before the game, right?? Wish you would have posted your guarantee BEFORE the game.

Not posting a guarantee, anybody teasing numbers that high is not smart - that's why people only play Wong teasers through the 3 and 7. And some through the 10 as well is profitable as we have known for years. You shouldn't have teased either side last night.

[QUOTE=Justin1820;48505]Not posting a guarantee, anybody teasing numbers that high is not smart - that's why people only play Wong teasers through the 3 and 7. And some through the 10 as well is profitable as we have known for years. You shouldn't have teased either side last night.[/QUOTE] Normally I would agree although I believe that BS teases have not been as profitable lately. Would like to hear some of the math guys chime in but I would bet that when the market is 17 and I have 18 1/2 and can tease through 18, 20, 21, 23 and 24 on a +100 2 teamer it is positive EV.

At best you are picking up 16%, which makes this a losing tease. If you are allowed 6 pt NFL teasers at even money don't force bad teases like KC, just be patient, pick the right ones and clean up. Good Luck.

During the 'in running' there were a bunch of good spots to bet +24.5 to +27 also.......... so very applicable there also

You don't like hearing it but these guys are right. Your best option was just to take +18.5. Getting EV money on 2 teamers is not so terrific that you can just tease anything with it. The fact you got a head start with 18.5 is good and if you often get head starts like that it will help you create more teasers but you need to get more for your 6 pts then that stretch of numbers. *Right idea, wrong time to do it.

[QUOTE=Calsport;48515]At best you are picking up 16%, which makes this a losing tease. If you are allowed 6 pt NFL teasers at even money don't force bad teases like KC, just be patient, pick the right ones and clean up. Good Luck.[/QUOTE] I still dont understand how having 18 1/2 to tease when the market is 17 is not a good spot. I am clearly not sophisticated enough to understand these markets and when and when something is not +ev. To me KC was a good tease not a bad one simply because of the point and a half head start I got. 17 and 18 seem like decent numbers.

Short version - the extra points you get over market have to increase your win pct 22% to 25% depending on what you pay for your teaser. In this case with the +100 6 pointer you need to add approx 22%. Gaining the 18 - 24 is not worth that much.