Bookies battle the point spread! Week 8

Bookies battle the point spread! Week 8 [B]Looks like we've had a bit of a shakeup in the top 5 bookies as two newcomers stormed to the front with 11 and 12 win weeks. The front runner is still Todd Fuhrman from Caesers Palace with a 63-39 record. Blowing right up his tailpipe is William Anderson from the Gold Coast at 62-40. Rocketing into third position with a 12-2 week is Aaron Kessler from the Golden Nugget-Laughlin. He's been in the top 5 before and decided he wanted to get back into the chase. One more week like this, and he just might have the top spot as he's only 2 wins behind at 61-41. Jeff Hoose from the Luxor/Excalibur maintains his position tied with Kessler at 61-41. Taking over the 5th position is another newcomer, Jeff Stoneback from the Mirage with a 60-42 record. He had an 11-3 week to vault him into the top 5. All records reflect the MNF game. As far as lines go, there are about 5 lines that the bookies picked from as compared to the current LV lines. SF -1.5/PK, DAL -11.5/7, DET 1.5/2.5, OAK 1.5/2.5, NE 3.5/6. Soooo! Let's get started! TODD FUHRMAN CAESERS PALACE 63-39 LW 8-6 DEN..JAX..DET..NYJ..STL..CIN..BUF..SD...TB...SEA..NE...NO..HOU WILLIAM ANDERSON GOLD COAST 62-40 LW 9-5 DEN..JAX..DET..GB...CAR..CIN..BUF..TEN..TB..OAK..NE..PIT..HOU AARON KESSLER GOLDEN NUGGET-LAU 61-41 LW12-2 DEN..DAL..WAS..GB..CAR..MIA..KC....TEN..ARZ.OAK.NE..PIT.HOU JEFF HOOSE LUX/EXCAL 61-41 LW 9-5 DEN..JAX..WAS..GB..CAR..MIA..BUF..TEN..TB...SEA..MIN..PIT.HOU JEFF STONEBACK MIRAGE 60-42 LW 11-3 DEN..JAX..DET..NYJ..STL..MIA..BUF..TEN..ARZ..SEA..NE...NO...HOU CONSENSUS ALL HOTELS 50-52 LW 8-6 DEN..JAX..WAS..GB..STL..MIA...KC...TEN..TB....OAK..NE..PIT..HOU .37.....35...37.....35...37....37.....33....36...43.....38....42...41....34 The above number represents how many times all bookies took the above teams out of 62 bookies. The DAL/JAX picks are probably scewed by the 4.5 point difference in the line compared to what it is now. There are two teams selected unanimously and they are DEN and HOU. There are 4 teams selected 4-1 and they are JAX, BUF, TEN and NE. Now for the differences. The bookies picked DET, CAR, BUF, and SEA. The Consensus picked the other side in all those games. Last week the differences were 1-2. So that will wrap it up for this week as we approach the halfway point of the season. Good luck this week. [/B]

Kessler is one sharp MF. I like to him to win it.

Now that we're approaching the halfway point, is there any "trend" (regarding this contest) that has relevance, and thus would be worth following? I know Fez felt (early in the season) this was going to be "random noise," and not something with much substance. I'm curious if you have any cumulative totals for the 3 categories you've broken this data into? I like reading the "Battle of the Bookies" thread every week, but I'm not sure that it's giving me any kind of advantage. All thoughts and opinions are appreciated here.

I like the thought process behind it but I think the sample pool may not be square enough. I have a buddy that loses ALL the time and we just bet against him but sometimes even he goes on a streak. It would seem that if you could get a group of these types and then get a consensus it would be valuable. At least you might get a good idea where the line is going to go on game day.

i've tried betting against myself but, that doesn't work either. maybe someone can outline the strategy these contenders are utilizing...matching pics, etc

Agreed [QUOTE=lonewolf;31262]i've tried betting against myself but, that doesn't work either.[/QUOTE] I couldn't agree more but the problem is I get too much information so my picks are not really mine. If I could just pick on my own and go opposite I would be AWESOME!!

I appreciate the humor, but it doesn't appear that anyone has good thoughts on the usefulness of the "Battle of the Bookies" info. If you do have a meaningful slant on how to use this info, please share your thoughts. Regarding the humor, a lot of people (myself included) have thought about just betting the opposite of what they like. Before I would actually do that, I think I would quit. Fortunately, I get some good info here, so it hasn't come to that.

[QUOTE=bigrobbie;31276]I appreciate the humor, but it doesn't appear that anyone has good thoughts on the usefulness of the "Battle of the Bookies" info. If you do have a meaningful slant on how to use this info, please share your thoughts. Regarding the humor, a lot of people (myself included) have thought about just betting the opposite of what they like. Before I would actually do that, I think I would quit. Fortunately, I get some good info here, so it hasn't come to that.[/QUOTE] Then you'll be going against bookies who have hit 60%+ in past contests.

vs stale lines, yes. Like a lot of stuff around here, this information is but one thing to consider, but it's neither the be all, end all nor is it worthless.

I didn't mean going against what the Bookies like, but going against what I actually like - going against myself. When some guys are going bad, I've actually seen people do this. Like I said, I would quit before resorting to that.