BYU and TCU Over?

BYU and TCU Over? I keep waiting to see this and it continues to not be posted nor mentioned. BYU and TCU season wins are 9 each. BYU has won 10 regular season games 3 years straight with their QB and RB starting for the third year. Sure they play OK, FSU, and TCU but do you expect them to lose all three? They should win the other 9. I guess I just don't see BYU losing 4 games and figure to be freerolling on this. TCU has posted 10 or 11 regular season wins in 3 of the last 4 years. Sure they play two ACC games and BYU on the road, but this team is tough as nails and could run the table. TCU losing 4 games would be the upset of the MWC this year. Once again, I see this as a freeroll. What am I missing?
I won with BYU over 9 last year pretty easily - the miracle up in Wash helped a lot. But they really digressed late last year - they were lucky to beat UNLV as their D couldn't stop anyone. I think they could easily lose to someone other than those three in the MW - Utah for sure could beat them. Traditional doormats like UNLV, SDSU will be improved a lot - and if that D is as bad this year as it was late last year, I think they'll get upset somewhere along the line on the road. I didn't/won't play it but I was leaning Under. Didn't look at TCU.
[QUOTE=lvmike32;1035]I won with BYU over 9 last year pretty easily - the miracle up in Wash helped a lot. But they really digressed late last year - they were lucky to beat UNLV as their D couldn't stop anyone. I think they could easily lose to someone other than those three in the MW - Utah for sure could beat them. Traditional doormats like UNLV, SDSU will be improved a lot - and if that D is as bad this year as it was late last year, I think they'll get upset somewhere along the line on the road. I didn't/won't play it but I was leaning Under. Didn't look at TCU.[/QUOTE] The big question is can max hall stay healthy, if he does they have a good chance to go 11-1, 10-2 at worst. In big games you tend to have more injuries so playing Oklahoma first they should have time to recover. With Tulane coming second they should be alright. This years team will be playing with somewhat of a chip on there shoulder after losing to Utah and playing second fiddle. Remember they get TCU & Utah at home this year, TCU will come to provo after the cougars just dismantled UNLV & SDST on the road, they should be sky high for this one. I/m never one to bet the season's win totals over but if I did I'd give it an A grade
I'll respectively disagree - I think Okl and FSU will be losses. Then you have Utah and TCU and I think TCU is the class of the league this year. Then you can't slip up against anyone else. I'll guess 9-3 or 8-4. Last year I thought they were a strong bet and I won it, though I had to sweat out that Defense. I think it all depends on whether their D improves and Hall plays well against good teams - it's well documented that he sucked against winning teams. And they lost an O Lineman already.

I took BYU Over 9 wins, because I realized I had a hedge to make against them. They are currently favored in EVERY game but 1. This is my first time going for the hedge. What are some good ways to use this. Note that they are 3 point favorite versus TCU and FSU, and 7 against Utah. All others should be higher. Assuming they win those other 8, how much of the original bet should I be putting on the ML against them?