Honestly, I don't have a great read or opinion on this game either way. That being said, I would wait to see where the line goes on game day if you like the home dog here. This does not go below +4'. If you have multiple outs, watch for the +6' and buy the hook to get +7-120. Not sure if you will see it, but the +6' is more likely to occur than the line dropping to +4. If game time approaches and the +6' has not appeared, take the best available.
This is where football can be easier in regards to line moves than basketball -- a game like this, you can afford to wait and see where the market goes -- obviously, +5' is better than +5, but in the grand scheme of things, taking the half point drop is not likely to hurt you.
Obviously, key numbers like 3, 7, etc are a different story.
