Can Sharps Chime in on this John Morrison System in NBA

Can Sharps Chime in on this John Morrison System in NBA Been reading about it and seems like it's been a consistent winner. Not sure exactly what it is, but seems to be some 3 game martingale with teams on certain road trip and with a 3 point buy. But now that everyone knows about it, assume books will figure out a way to make sure it loses? i.e. not allow 3 point buys, etc. Anyway, curious as to thoughts from pro's about this system?

Seeing the words martingale and buying a lot of points in the same sentence gives me the creeps :-) somebody tracked the system last year. It lost the very first series, which means you have to win like the next 18 series just to break even LOL. After that it won 4 series - don't know how it did after that. But it probably was something that was invented by looking back in data without having other ideas, other than finding something that had performed 80-1 over the last couple of years.

i think in the NFL the system is a 3 game martingale that assumes a team wont lost 6 games ATS. something like that. with nba and wnba it's different with the buying points thing in baseball and maybe hockey, it plays run lines with the dog and such. it's fun i guess to play around with with some chump change but no thanks on the martingale

martingale = delete system Solve by inspection bad.........

I found the systems online once, with a little google search, as I became curious. In the NFL it was: If the underdog team playing at home is playing on a different type of surface than the away team’s home stadium, then bet for the home underdog team in the line spread to win. According to the PDF it was 60% winners. I tested it to my database, and it was like 50% over 4-5 seasons. NBA System goes like this: 1. Check the NBA schedule and mark down any series where one team will be playing at least 3 consecutive games on the road versus a team of a different conference. 2. For the team that will be playing 3 or more consecutive games on the road with a different conference, make a bet A for the team on the road on its first day by buying 3 points. 3. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team, buying 3 points. 4. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team, buying 3 points. I have not tested it with my own data, but as I said, somebody tracked it last year and it lost the very first series. You have to win something like 19 out of 20 series just to break even. MLB is like this: Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless versus the opposing team (a sweep) For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously 3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI value of no less than .01 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-3 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual) 4. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team 5. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team And keep this in mind: ALWAYS bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win (shows -1.5 on the run line). ALWAYS bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog (shows +1.5 on the run line). I have not tested this either. I have not played any of the systems. When somebody tells this system is amazing and will never fail, and I test the first system and it actually fails, I stop looking at the other "amazing systems" :-) As Jefff sais, if you want to bet systems that OK, but never use Martingale to get back losses.

If you like the other side you get a great bargain!

Of course the systems are stupid, but if they get a following (like at SBR), then fading C bets late might be a good idea. Or pounding them at the opening and buying back. If you think there are enough people on them to move the line (and books dumb enough to let the line move much, instead of just holding the extra action).

It actually didn't lose a series last year in the NBA. Trust me. I know a local who told me about it, he got crushed. Said he had never seen anything like it. Obv a statistical oddity IMO.