For me, it isn't worth a wager. Other than RAS, I don't think there is a handicapper that is worthy of a bet upon their release as a general rule. You won't know it I guess unless you have a crystal ball. There certainly are going to be plays that don't move immediately but may well move later.
I just won't be the one to take the lead. And it will mean that plays will get away. Fez comes up with some good stuff. That total on Nebraska looked great. He nailed the move. I couldn't get it. And it is a winner. Do I regret missing the 10 star winner? Of course I do because I like making money. But ultimately if I start betting every play he has I know I have too many plays without line value.
Baltimore/Cincinnati under for 4 stars. I liked the bet and I still didn't bet it. But that was under 43 by game time. It just showed limited drive and then it went the other way. Although it had moved a point on his release at some books and I could get his original number I just felt the point ovetr 42 wasn't enough of an advantage or any advantage and passed the bet.
If there were one or two bets a week here I might just bet a little on them and that is it. But there can be a large number of bets here and it just looks to me that although the closing line value wouldn't indicate to me a guy who would lose 70 units a year----I'm not so sure it is somebody that should be winning either. Throw a little on every play here and you can get hurt.
If Fez went up 100 units I'm not going to be up 100 units but I believe my strategy will allow me to participate somewhat in his gain if I watch the screen closely, note down his bets and scout for value.
