College week #4

Dogs: #307 Illinois +14 -102 #323 Ohio +21 1/2 -103 #325 Central Florida +10 1/2 -105 #371 Louisville +14 +100 #389 UL Monroe +4 -105
#301 Mississippi -3 -114
Does the Ole Miss game not scream sucker bet to you? Not being smart, I am seriously asking! I stayed away because the line was so low! I thought this line should be around -9.
[QUOTE=cware96;3352]I thought this line should be around -9.[/QUOTE] And you didn't bet it?

cware96, I'd be lying if I said I didn't think the SAME thing when I first saw this line. However, since, I have seen a significant amount of love for the Cocks. If the Rebs lose this game, it won't be because they were looking ahead, or underestimated their opponent. I think what you have here-and the reasoning most people are missing--is a focused favorite. Everyone knows that the best bet in all of sports is the focused favorite. I've heard a lot of "Thursday night dog" reasoning, but I think the market has that angle priced in here.
I know.. weird thought process huh! When the line is that far off from where I thought it would be the red flag went up. But I had a red flag last week when Florida St line went up to +9 & still took the ml so i shoot my own theory out of the water there! Just overthinking that one! Thanks Pistol Pete... I like the response!!
I went to bed, hoping the BYU line would fall to 14, but it rose to 16. #364 BYU -16 -107 Totals: #318 Clemson under 42 1/2 -110 #327 Fresno St over 61 1/2 -105 #399 Toledo over 54 1/2 -105
# 306 Boston College +1 -110. Was hoping line would go to 3.
#381 TT over 72 1/2 -105 #349 Arkansas +18 -110
#314 Temple under 46 -108