Dallas +7 looking like good bet There still is even some +7.5 at some spots on this game but if you don't have SportsInteraction as an internet outlet it would be +7. Even that may disappear.
Remember the Jets game on the weekend almost went down to 7 at some books by game time against NE. Probably this line IMO is a little high.
I saw an interesting segment on NFL Live where Eric Mangini broke down NE somewhat and obviusly he has some terrific insights on football generally but he knows NE and he's familiar with Rob Ryan the DC with Dallas since he worked with him in Cleveland.
He's mentioned a few times this year that some keys to Brady's success is that defences can't give him pre snap information or he will kill them. "If he knows it goes" is Mangini's line about Brady. He recommends jamming receivers and getting Brady uncomfortable in the pocket. Probably the last 2 things are items that every team is trying to do but I do think the pre snap inforrmation is an insight that perhaps teams aren't going to the lengths they should be.
Mangini showed some film of Cleveland's upset of NE last year where the D looks plainly confused or uncertain of what their call is but is in fact just withholding information from Brady so that he doesn't know the blitzing scheme and cover schemes before the snap.
Betting Dallas here isn't so much that NE won't have plan for this and be aware that Ryan got the best of them last year and we all know what they're capable of. But if I'm feeling the line is a little high at least this information is positive. With a bye week and no doubt this being a big game I would like to think Ryan wants to do as much as he can to keep his edge and repeat the success the Browns had to some extent.
I can see that money has showed on Dallas so far and it makes sense to me so I'm not walking into the snowstorm to bet this. I do have the +7.5 but I might not miss this one at +7 if I hadn't. It has been a long time since Brady lost at home I'm hoping it is time although I won't be betting ML.
