data mining on Wash/Det game

data mining on Wash/Det game goes against Fezzik though.... home faves off 10+ days of rest laying 3 pts or less have gone under 51 of the last 61 games dating back to 1990. e.g. a couple of weeks ago NE/Balt under 44.5 when NE, off a bye, was around a 2 pt home fave. these teams tend to be focused against a comparable opponent

I get 35-88 OU... [QUOTE=jefff;31235]goes against Fezzik though.... home faves off 10+ days of rest laying 3 pts or less have gone under 51 of the last 61 games dating back to 1990. e.g. a couple of weeks ago NE/Balt under 44.5 when NE, off a bye, was around a 2 pt home fave. these teams tend to be focused against a comparable opponent[/QUOTE] I used this SDQL text: [B]H and rest>=10 and 0>line>=-3 and playoffs=0 and season>=1990[/B] And got an OU record of 35-88 Nice system, thanks for posting it. I couldn't get the 10-51 OU you mentioned. Am I missing something? Prof Meyer

Found it! The database at SportsDataBase.com will count the first week of the season as a game in which the teams have more than 10 days rest. So, this SDQL will eliminate the first week of the season and give the system you quoted. [B]H and rest>=10 and 0>line>=-3 and playoffs=0 and season>=1990 and week>1[/B] For some reason, I get a record of 10-48 OU. Close enough. NICE. And the reasoning you provided makes sense to me. Prof Meyer

More data mining... I'm sorry, I can't help it... If you insist that it is a divisional game, teams in this spot are 1-25 OU their last 26. The SDQL text is: [B]H and rest>=10 and -319901010 and week>1 and DIV[/B] Also, if you insist that the team in question is 500 or below on the season, the league is 4-30 OU their last 34. The SDQL text is: [B]H and rest>=10 and -319901010 and week>1 and WP

WTF does all this mean ???? lions or redskins ? translate please

Under!!!!!

What it all means... [QUOTE=larryphelps;31307]WTF does all this mean ???? lions or redskins ? translate please[/QUOTE] The only thing it means is that: From 1990 to the present day, NFL home teams that have a record of 500 or below on the season have produced an OU record of 4 overs and 30 unders in regular season games in which they are a 1-3 point favorite and they had at least ten days rest (not including week one). This is what has happened in the past. This is a fact. The Detroit Lions qualify for this system this week. This is a fact. That this "system" means the Lions are better than 50% to stay under this week is not a fact. It is an important question that is the basis of the much of the discussion in this forum. This is what makes handicapping sports a great intellectual challenge. I'm teaching nuclear physics right now and when my students complain how hard it is, I tell them, "Yeah, well try picking a winner on Sunday." Despite the fact that some touts will advertise that they have a game that has an 85+% chance of winning, I don't think anyone here would say that this system tells us that the Lions are anywhere near 85% to go under this week. What I will propose is that the existence of this system should be factored into any handicapping decision made regarding the total in the Lions - Redskins game this week. That's all. I saved this system in my personal "My Trends" file at KillerSports.com. This means that whenever it is active, I will be alerted. When it is active, I want to know about it. Finally, the OU result of the Lions - 'Skins game this week will not either "prove" or "disprove" this system. The result is just one more data point to take into account the next time it pops up. Prof M. P.S. For this and a number of other reasons, I like the Lions - Redskins UNDER this week. And I would be very happy if they have a 56% chance of going UNDER.

[I]I'm teaching nuclear physics right now and when my students complain how hard it is, I tell them, "Yeah, well try picking a winner on Sunday[/I]." is that at Berkeley by any chance ?

if anyone gives a crap philly/indy fits the bill this week

Go Jackets!!! [QUOTE=costar;31741][I]I'm teaching nuclear physics right now and when my students complain how hard it is, I tell them, "Yeah, well try picking a winner on Sunday[/I]." is that at Berkeley by any chance ?[/QUOTE] Baldwin - Wallace College in Berea Ohio -- Home of the Yellow Jackets. This is a big football week for us -- we get our butts kicked by Mount Union. Prof M.