Don't follow the market and look to play Bengals +6 or kc +6 week1

Don't follow the market and look to play Bengals +6 or kc +6 week1 Don't bet cincy or KC at this time. Money came in on Cincy due to T.O., but he isn't worth more than 1/2 a point, and the math says that game is lined correctly at 6, so no 'bargain' there. Now KC may well be the right side vs. SD, but +6 is most certainly NOT the right price. I am always baffled when I see line moves like this.......goes down from +6 to +5 at CRIS.......did this bettor really think he wouldn't get at least +6 on MNF with the Chiefs? Late START TIME too!

KC is Footballoutsiders darling. Someone must have blew their wad early after reading the prospectus.

I'm not suggesting that Cinci is the right side, but why do you think T.O. only adds 1/2 a point? It seems that T.O. is worth more to a team with other good options (Ochocinco, Benson) than one with no real ones (like Buffalo).

These are the bets I've made so far. Vikings vs Saints (Week #1)(NBC) Saints -4 tzd 0.5 -120 #S-14358076 06/25 12:39 am -$ 120.00 Placed Straight Bet to win $ 100.00 Bengals vs Patriots (Week #1) Bengals +6.5 tzd 0.5 -120 #S-14342127 06/15 10:32 am -$ 52.50 Placed Straight Bet to win $ 50.00 Ravens vs Jets (Week #1)(ESPN) Jets -3 -105 #S-14338087 06/12 03:37 pm -$ 60.00 Placed Straight Bet to win $ 50.00 Panthers vs Giants (Week #1) Panthers +7.5 tzd 0.5 -12 un 14, 2010 More Single Bet * 1 Miami v Buffalo Miami - 2.0 -110 Open 110.00 Jun 14, 2010 More Single Bet * 1 San Diego v Kansas City San Diego - 5.5 -110 Open 110.00 Jun 14, 2010 More Single Bet * 1 Dallas v Washington Washington + 3.5 -110 Open 110.00 Jun 13, 2010 More Single Bet * 1 Carolina v New York Giants Carolina + 7.0 -110 Open 220.00

[QUOTE=Daringly;24445]I'm not suggesting that Cinci is the right side, but why do you think T.O. only adds 1/2 a point? It seems that T.O. is worth more to a team with other good options (Ochocinco, Benson) than one with no real ones (like Buffalo).[/QUOTE] Terrell Owens isn't that good anymore. He wasn't even double-covered in Boo-follow because of Lee Evans or whomever it was at the other WR. He's what, 36? Kind of like Marvin Harrison.

[QUOTE=joelshitshow;24449]Terrell Owens isn't that good anymore. He wasn't even double-covered in Boo-follow because of Lee Evans or whomever it was at the other WR. He's what, 36? Kind of like Marvin Harrison.[/QUOTE] exactly, but to be fair to TO, Buffalo's QB play is awful will be interesting to see how much better he does with Carson Palmer throwing to him. Still 1/2 point max to Bengals PR and even that may be pushing it.

[QUOTE=towelie;24542]exactly, but to be fair to TO, Buffalo's QB play is awful will be interesting to see how much better he does with Carson Palmer throwing to him. Still 1/2 point max to Bengals PR and even that may be pushing it.[/QUOTE] I think he might have a bigger impact than people expect. T.O. Ochocinco Cedric Benson With this many quality players and a decent QB/OL, it is harder for a defense to isolate/remove one. At Dallas, TO was often double covered. If I had to prop T.O, I'd guess with these numbers: T.O.'s total receiving yards: Over/Under 1180.5 yards -110/-110 T.O.'s total TDs: Over/Under 12 -110/-110 Note that if TO has a consistently solid performance, this will not only help Palmer's efficiency rating, but help Ocho and every other offensive player on the field. Ocho and TO together are somewhat scary. Cinci had a ton of receivers, but no "go-to #2" guy. Shooting from the hip, I'd guess TO might be worth 3 points of improvement over the old receiving corps.

[QUOTE=Daringly;24543] If I had to prop T.O, I'd guess with these numbers: T.O.'s total receiving yards: Over/Under 1180.5 yards -110/-110 T.O.'s total TDs: Over/Under 12 -110/-110 [/QUOTE] Under 1180.5 back up the mobile home play of the year.

[QUOTE=Twoniner;24553]Under 1180.5 back up the mobile home play of the year.[/QUOTE] Word. Beep, Beep.

I Bid 'under' 880 yds, Under '9' TDs 36 year old thrid stringer playing for a power rushing team with a stud Tight End Rookie.