Double Result Betting

Double Result Betting In about 9.5% of nfl games the game is tied at half. At one of my books I can usually always bet tie/team a at 20:1. For instance, in last nights game it was tie/colts 20:1 and tie/miami at 22:1. In games lined near 0 I think this is a decent bet. Thoughts?

If you do have an edge (you can almost certainly find one in this) it seems to me you would have extremely high variance for a relatively minimal edge

You're missing something [QUOTE=Justin1820;3334]In about 9.5% of nfl games the game is tied at half. At one of my books I can usually always bet tie/team a at 20:1. For instance, in last nights game it was tie/colts 20:1 and tie/miami at 22:1. In games lined near 0 I think this is a decent bet. Thoughts?[/QUOTE] I'm not buying this. A sportsbook giving 20-1 odds on something that happens almost 10% of the time!? That's giving us 2-1 odds on an even money bet. Either the odds on a halftime tie are not 9.5% or they are not giving 20-1 odds. Check it out again.

IT's 20x1 on tie at half, Colts win game. If it is indeed 9.5% for 1st half tie, second half colts winning is probably about 52-53%. Thus odds are less than 5% and 20x1 is close to fair.

Wasn't happy with the low limit, but ship it nonetheless: Win * Indianapolis at Miami (Half-time/Full-time ) Draw/Indianapolis +2000 Win $4830.00

I obviously disagree with sean1.

If you bet every nfl game like this on both sides, you need 2 per week to be tied at half to win money. I think 20:1 is too great of odds to get especially if the game is lined near 0.

[QUOTE=Rumpelstiltskin;3372]I obviously disagree with sean1.[/QUOTE] With games line at close to a pk: .50 x .095 = .0475 of it happening, so 20 to 1 doesn't offer you an edge. Even at 52% its still break even at best.

Since 02, roughly 20 games/regular season are tied at the half. Last season there were 17, or 1 per wk.

[QUOTE=red30;3424]With games line at close to a pk: .50 x .095 = .0475 of it happening, so 20 to 1 doesn't offer you an edge. Even at 52% its still break even at best.[/QUOTE] Actually at 52%, it's better than break even. Nevermind that the no vig 2h price on IND was higher than 52% despite the fact that MIA was getting the ball first and that IND had looked bad in the 1h with MIA running all over them. I also think the 9.5% is a little low, but I'll just leave it at that. If you guys don't want to bet it, that's fine with me.