Eight of Clubs Selections for More College Totals

fade = ? let's help people new to this fade means ....betting with or betting against ? thanx speaker for the crowd

Fade [QUOTE=MrTop;4969]let's help people new to this fade means ....betting with or betting against ? thanx speaker for the crowd[/QUOTE] Betting Against

Just think of it as the semi-final line as being sufficiently ironed out as to actually be more accurate than the final line. Now, this raises a bugaboo about the "beat the closing line" worship that goes on in the forums these days, but I'll let the worshippers deal with it. My personal testing shows the Friday night line to be a bit sharper than the close. I think it's because real squares don't start betting until gameday, generally, and the lines that haven't moved to their action yet. IOW, if, say, a CFB total opened at 41, was at 43 on Friday night, and closed at 45, I'd say the 43 was the most accurate number. But, apparently, that's just me.

Gameday is also often when one of the biggest and most successful bettors on the planet bets.

[QUOTE=Goats;4975]Gameday is also often when one of the biggest and most successful bettors on the planet bets.[/QUOTE] That isn't the point. I bet late, too. Probably we all do. I'm saying that early, it's mostly just sharps, and late, it's sharps AND squares. Most of the action is gameday, but that doesn't mean that early action isn't sharper.

As an example: Vikings open -9.5 vs. RAMS. If the line goes to 11, we FADE the Vikings, betting Rams +11

maybe only NFL [QUOTE=Fezzik;4983]Vikings open -9.5 vs. RAMS. If the line goes to 11, we FADE the Vikings, betting Rams +11[/QUOTE] I think instead of unknowingly bumping up against the sharp movers (Fezz/Charlie J, RAS etc) especially with college totals, maybe just an NFL strategy for now....

Now see, here's where I'd disagree with using generic point values. I'm only waiting for +10' because I'm fading the Vikes anyway, without regard for 8ofC, but also because the difference between 10' and 11 is relatively trivial. The difference between 9' and 10', otoh, is key.

[QUOTE=edsherpa;4985]I think instead of unknowingly bumping up against the sharp movers (Fezz/Charlie J, RAS etc) especially with college totals, maybe just an NFL strategy for now....[/QUOTE] We fade the moves, usually at post, especially when the moves are against a power (e.g., when the line on NYG/Washington fell to 5 1/2) or on one of the dregs (like Oakland last week and Oakland this week). We have never faded totals unless the number passes a key number.

start talking fading steam and Old School is instantly in full gear. Gotta love it. anyone, please; Does RAS have a handle on here?