An example of why LVSC has a "It's not my $, so send out numbers can be lousy" Sports books are obligated to subcribe to LVSC, many still do, but the sharp ones simply ignore LVSC, and make their own numbers or more often copy what the offshores deal, or look at the offshores and tweak the numbers a 1/2 point.
Look no further than the Texas/Texas Tech send out number. Every alert college football specialist sharp individuals in Las Vegas followed the Golden Nugget GOYS. We were all there at the open, we all saw TT getting about a touchdown, and it get bet down to TExas -4 during the summer.
Ok, the year startes. Texas doesn't look good in the first two weeks. Texas Tech looks about what we expected. EVERY sharp bettor could make this line using about 1 minute of 'sharp 5th grader analysis', "Uh.......The summer line which was hammered into place was 4, Texas isn't looking so good, let's bring it down to 3". DONE. Finished. Easy.
Yet, somehow LVSC sent out 7 on this game. I simply cannot understand how they could get this game wrong, it was a layup to nail this one right. If you cannot get this one right, how the hell are you going to get NWU/Rice correct (they sent out 14)?
Many of these games are insanely difficult to price, but I think it speaks volumes when you swing and whiff at one that is a beachball lobbed at you.