Fezzik 2011 NFL Picks Thread: 1st play

Fezzik 2011 NFL Picks Thread: 1st play 468 JAX -2.5, 2 weight. Let's get this party started!

These are all going to get hit sometime in the very, very near future. Folks are likely going to be upset with me for releasing them, but they are all good bets, and they won't be there for long. We are going 'under' EVERY NFL week1 game EXCEPT 464 Philly/stl and 478 Dal/Jets I'm just going to quote the CRIS number on every game 452 Gb un 46.5 454 Bal un 37 456 Tb UN 40.5 458 Chic UN 41 460 KC UN 42 462 Hou UN 47 466 Ohio UN 37.5 468 Jax UN 40.5 470 Wash UN 38.5 472 Az UN 37.5 474 SF 40.5 476 SD UN 41.5 480 MIa UN 45.5 482 Den UN 41.5 I think all are good even 1/2 a point worse..........1 unit on each bet.........

Hasselback to QB Titans now. Were we hoping for Locker to start on the Jags -2.5 bet?

It may not matter. Hasselback is a shell of his former self. I call him this year's Marc Bulger.

$$$$ will show on EVERY stable team playing a new coach/new QB tandem. We will worry about it 30 minutes before kickoff.........

im curious for the forethought here from Fez as well. Fez, did you cap it based on Hass being there or which QB? Also are u forecasting CJ will be playing or not? Or is this a game that you are getting early and will play the other side on Sunday AM?

Sir, I'm a new fellow here. I have heard lots of praise of your betting record from many places. But just am curious...what is your handicapping/betting process in taking the Jaguars over the Titans in Week One. What do you think the 'real' margin of difference is in the Jaguars favor? In your over/under Week One selections, for instance, you picked the Viking-Charger final total to go under 41 1/2 points. How many points do you feel will be scored in that game and why? Also wasn't there just a long lockout in he NFL where transactions and all workouts were suspended? Do the selections you make above account for any transactions that may be made by the teams? What about injuries? Do you have any inside information on injuries/transactions involving the teams you wagered on/against? Just asking these questions to 'hone' my own betting style. Hope that is OK!

No inside information. I feel strongly the entire world is going to 1) Fade new coaches/new qb combos given the short window to Week1. They will back stabile coaches/qbs............So JAX -2.5 makes sense vs. unstable Ten. 2) Every sharp is going to conclude the K.Off rule change AND the short window will lead to lower scoring week1. So we need a reason NOT to play every game under.........

472 AZ -3.5 1 weight Missed the -3, but this one SURE to inflate........now or never. K Kolb going to Zona, stable Coach, vs. CArolina team in shambles traveling 3 time zones.......

Market is FAST ASLEEP on this, UPGRADE the play to 3 units, AZ -3.5, we dump it at kickoff and take some Caro +6 back.............