Fezzik Conf Championships

I was going to put 1 k on each with the 3.5 in the NFC championship game thought I could take advantage of the line and some ml too. What's the mathematical probability that one of these hits.? It would be a Great return for the risk 9,500 on each great ROI, but risky.

the risk may outweigh the reward fezz any thoughts on the over or unders this weekend?? i know you like pittsburgh. what do you think of the over and unders.

306 1h u19'

Dump your Packers, GET ON BEARS BEARS 3.5 1.5 weight Bears +170 1 weight I think Billy and Co. are going to POUND the Bears tomorrow. Forget 4 IMO, despite a donkfest of Pack -3.5 -110 bets, the big boys are MOVING on the Bears. MOre significantly, at 3.5 Da Bears are the right side.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;38030]BEARS 3.5 1.5 weight Bears +170 1 weight I think Billy and Co. are going to POUND the Bears tomorrow. Forget 4 IMO, despite a donkfest of Pack -3.5 -110 bets, the big boys are MOVING on the Bears. MOre significantly, at 3.5 Da Bears are the right side.[/QUOTE] If I may be as bold as to ask, what makes you "think" Billy is going to pound them. Is this intuition or did you actually hear evidence of such.

[QUOTE=IceTea;38034]If I may be as bold as to ask, what makes you "think" Billy is going to pound them. Is this intuition or did you actually hear evidence of such.[/QUOTE] I don't want Fezzik to answer that...You either trust his read or you don't...Again, good luck Ice Tea...You are super sharp and I really learn a great deal from your feedback...

[QUOTE=Fezzik;38030]BEARS 3.5 1.5 weight Bears +170 1 weight I think Billy and Co. are going to POUND the Bears tomorrow. Forget 4 IMO, despite a donkfest of Pack -3.5 -110 bets, the big boys are MOVING on the Bears. MOre significantly, at 3.5 Da Bears are the right side.[/QUOTE] So if we already played GB as a 2 weight do we now play the Bears as a 3 1/2 for a net of 1.5 on them or just bet the 1.5 and be left with .5 on GB and hope for the middle?? Im assuming the former since you said get on the Bears. Juice is getting expensive.

[QUOTE=johnnetto;38039]I don't want Fezzik to answer that...You either trust his read or you don't...Again, good luck Ice Tea...You are super sharp and I really learn a great deal from your feedback...[/QUOTE] Thats what I'm trying to figure out - his "read". Is it a "read" or does he actually KNOW information? To me, his "read" is a hunch. I respect the hell out of mr walters wagering and adjust my units as a result. If Fez knows info, I wager accordingly. If he "thinks" or "reads" that he may be on something, I'd wager differently.

[QUOTE=IceTea;38044]Thats what I'm trying to figure out - his "read". Is it a "read" or does he actually KNOW information? To me, his "read" is a hunch. I respect the hell out of mr walters wagering and adjust my units as a result. If Fez knows info, I wager accordingly. If he "thinks" or "reads" that he may be on something, I'd wager differently.[/QUOTE] I take his read into account with what I am thinking...I've already moved on the game. I was leaning Chicago anyway and think the line is stretched by a key 1/2 point so there is value. Irregardless of what I think, if you like the Bears and you trust Fez in general, then move on the game to what you are comfortable with. I can see the steam coming Chicago tomorrow so it's where the value of this room exists, insofar as giving you other insight and feedback on line moves...This is Fez's strength, is gauging line movements and calling them with a high degree of accuracy...

[QUOTE=IceTea;38044]Thats what I'm trying to figure out - his "read". Is it a "read" or does he actually KNOW information? To me, his "read" is a hunch. I respect the hell out of mr walters wagering and adjust my units as a result. If Fez knows info, I wager accordingly. If he "thinks" or "reads" that he may be on something, I'd wager differently.[/QUOTE] Agree with this.