Fezzik Hilton, Week 17

Fezzik Hilton, Week 17 BILLS -6.5 (good bet even at -8) CARO -7 Tbay +3 Patriots +8 Titans -4

Which ones do you like as current bets vs. which are contest strategy?

I like all 5 Even at numbers not quite as good.

What was your estimate on the length of time you predict NE starters to play?

Fezzik, your plays look solid. Ten -4 still WA, and seattle looks like they have given up. Plus Ten wants Johnson to set a few records. Good luckl!

NE starters should stay in for the 1st half. I've caught some flack about how much time I've spent on contests, and I've heard "how can you spend lots of time on them each week". Well.......I think my picks represent one solid chance to win. I reviewed Big E, saw the plays that he tended to like, and concluded that he might well take SEA +4. Already liking Ten -4, I passed on the mathematically better kc 13. I shoved in my chips and hoped for the contrarian play AND HIT. Hopefully, it all comes down to that 1 game....... Kudos also to many of the other top10 contestants (including TimT), many who took several contrarian plays/not so strong lines in order to stay "live".

Thanks for the insight - question for curiosity's sake: was there one or two plays that you really thought were likely to hit but that you left off your card because you figured BigE might take them? I assume KC is one of those. Was there another?

kc and cincy ...... Plays I couldn't take, fearful we would line up on 4 dupes......

WOW! Ten now -6 at Cris!

[QUOTE=Fezzik;13846]I shoved in my chips and hoped for the contrarian play AND HIT.[/QUOTE] Dude, you hit ONE contrarian play and matched TWO (Ind and TB). If you wanted contrarian, I suggested THREE games opposite Big. E. and you. Good luck!