Fezzik Hilton, Week 17

THanks. So maybe it is good that we also have the Pats? If they win we have a winning bet..if they lose (or are losing) then turn in that Cinci bet FAST? Does this sound right??? Thanks.

[QUOTE=Old School;13912]How has Seattle done the last two weeks? A lot can change in two weeks in the NFL, especially in the last weeks of the season. Line now Ten -6.[/QUOTE] This line changed when Fezzik announced he liked Tenn..I went to bet them and the line immediately changed (coincidence or not).

[QUOTE=JohnnyGun;13905]Please explain what is so good about Cinci this week that OS and Fezzik is on them? Isn't there like ZERO motivation including if they lose Jets come to them in first week of playoffs. What am I missing?[/QUOTE] I'm on NOTHING so far, and Trushal, not Fezzik, is on Cin.

fez may have dropped the ball with no KC. imo KC is a solid right side bad number game that has to be included. although i admit that i really like the setup fez has with ten and sea bettors immediately above and below you. good luck on closing this out. 2 time winner, back to back years isnt something that you will likely ever see again in a 400+ field. and good luck to the kid eddie money.. looking at everything my hunch is that truschel ends up with the trophy.

[QUOTE=Old School;13915]I'm on NOTHING so far, and Trushal, not Fezzik, is on Cin.[/QUOTE] Fezz said he liked them but feared the duplicate bet along with KC...hence my original question on them. WHy? I thought you listed them as one of your Hilton teams if you had a card.

I had to pass on at least 1 good play............... Sure, OF COURSE, I wish I had KC NOW. BUT.....with TB,KC AND BUF in my portfolio I would have had to go 3-1 on noncommon plays...........too much to ask for. I thought Big E would play Cincy........late game, he likes dogs, line dropping.........I ALMOST TOOK THE JETS!!!! I know bigE likes dogs, especially some dogs in the 3-7 range EVEN IF HE PLAYS A MARKET LINE. Given this, I liked TEN-4 AND thought I had a small chance to get a contrarian...........very lucky. TimT is REALLY up against it. He loses the tiebreaker to every other person, so he can only win it if he gets the lead outright. Also +3 games could crush him if he starts pushing those games. I dropped the ball with NO KC GIVEN BIgE is on Seattle. If he wasn't on Sea this board's contest 'experts' WOULD HAVE A FIELD DAY ripping me for basically laying up in the US Open when I needed birdie to win. I knew BIgE dislikes favorites, so I thought CAR -7 would 1) Be live AND 2) Be duplicated by many below me. 1/2 right only...............

Fezz you like Cinci +10? You mentioned them but I fear motivation?

[QUOTE=JohnnyGun;13913]If [Pats] lose (or are losing) then turn in that Cinci bet FAST?[/QUOTE] The line may change too fast. Better do a parlay or "if" bet.

[QUOTE=JohnnyGun;13917]Fezz said he liked them but feared the duplicate bet along with KC...hence my original question on them. WHy? I thought you listed them as one of your Hilton teams if you had a card.[/QUOTE] I stated I would have played Buf, TB, Cin, Cle, and KC. Fezzik and #1 have Buf and TB, giving me Cin +10, Cle pick, and KC +13 vs Fezzik's NE+8, Car -7, and Ten -4, vs #1's Ari -3 1/2, KC +13, and Sea +4. Thus, if I was 1/2 game behind, I would have 3 of number #1's plays, only leaving me with Clev pick and Cin +10 vs #1's Ari -3 1/2 and Sea +4. I think #1 is -EV on BOTH Ari and Sea, Yes, the NYJ HAVE to win, but these teams don't always win, much less cover.

[QUOTE=KimLee;13925]The line may change too fast. Better do a parlay or "if" bet.[/QUOTE] RIGHT. Thanks man.