Fezzik NFL season-long bets, status, current EV

Week 10 update NFL Week 10 had Cin L, Min L, and TB W, Redskins had one sack. NFL overall estimated EV = +8.45u. (Dallas UN has clinched) UCLA had a bye, record 4-5, est. EV = +1.06 (UN 6 @ -175, 2 wgt). [B]Fezzik NFL season bets Team O/U Value ML Wgt W/L W-Prob T-Prob Bet EV[/B] [FONT="Courier New"]Bengals season wins UN 8.5 -120 2 2-7 99.4% 0.0% 2.40 1.97 Bucs season wins .. OV 6 120 1 6-3 97.0% 3.0% 1.00 1.16 Cowboys season wins UN 10 105 2 2-7 100.0% 0.0% 2.00 2.10 Vikings season wins UN 9.5 100 3 3-6 99.1% 0.0% 3.00 2.95 Redskins Sacks …. UN 40 -125 1 19 64.0% 6.0% 1.25 0.27[/FONT] [B]TOTAL 8.45[/B]

Week 11 update NFL Week 11 had Cin L, Min L, and TB W, Redskins had one sack. (sound familar?) NFL overall estimated EV = +8.94u. (All bets except Redskins sacks UN have clinched) UCLA Lost, record 4-6, est. EV = +1.88 (UN 6 @ -175, 2 wgt). [B]Fezzik NFL season bets Team O/U Value ML Wgt W/L W-Prob T-Prob Bet EV[/B] Bengals season wins UN 8.5 -120 2 2-8 100.0% 0.0% 2.40 2.00 Bucs season wins .. OV 6 120 1 7-3 100.0% 0.0% 1.00 1.20 Cowboys season wins UN 10 105 2 3-7 100.0% 0.0% 2.00 2.10 Vikings season wins UN 9.5 100 3 3-7 100.0% 0.0% 3.00 3.00 Redskins Sacks …. UN 40 -125 1 20 81.0% 5.0% 1.25 0.64 [B]TOTAL 8.94[/B]

Week 12 update NFL Week 12 had Redskins with 2 sacks.NFL overall estimated EV = +9.13u. (All bets except Redskins sacks UN have clinched) UCLA Lost, record 4-7, +2.00 (UN 6 @ -175, 2 wgt) - clinched. [B]Fezzik NFL season bets Team O/U Value ML Wgt W/L W-Prob T-Prob Bet EV[/B] [FONT="Courier New"] Bengals season wins UN 8.5 -120 2 2-9 100.0% 0.0% 2.40 2.00 Bucs season wins .. OV 6 120 1 7-4 100.0% 0.0% 1.00 1.20 Cowboys season wins UN 10 105 2 3-8 100.0% 0.0% 2.00 2.10 Vikings season wins UN 9.5 100 3 4-7 100.0% 0.0% 3.00 3.00 Redskins Sacks .... UN 40 -125 1 22 92.0% 1.0% 1.25 0.83[/FONT] [B]TOTAL 9.13[/B]

Final update NFL Week 17 had Redskins with no sacks. NFL overall +9.30u. [B]CFB, Internal rate of return (IRR) = 381%[/B] UCLA record 4-8, +2.00 (UN 6 @ -175, 2 wgt) - W. [B]Fezzik NFL season bets, Internal rate of return (IRR) = 575% Team O/U Value ML Wgt W/L W-Prob T-Prob Bet EV[/B] Bengals season wins.. UN 8.5 -120 2 4-12 100.0% 0.0% 2.40 2.00 Bucs season wins …. OV 6 120 1 10-6 100.0% 0.0% 1.00 1.20 Cowboys season wins.. UN 10 105 2 6-10 100.0% 0.0% 2.00 2.10 Vikings season wins.. UN 9.5 100 3 5-11 100.0% 0.0% 3.00 3.00 Redskins Sacks …….. UN 40 -125 1 29 100.0% 0.0% 1.25 1.00 [B]TOTAL 9.30[/B]