Fezzik on ESPN Insder From Chad Millman's "Vegas' Best Football Bet":
"There's going to be a regression to the mean," says Fezzik, a longtime Vegas vet who made his one-name rep from betting NFL games. "There always is."
Bookmakers account for this when they post their totals. "A few years ago, Miami would have been posted at nine, not 7.5 or seven," says Fezzik. "But now there is so much more data for people to examine, these numbers are a little smarter."
The article continues:
For example, one of the teams I heard sharps getting excited about again and again during my four days in town was the Lions. Their season win total is listed at 4.8. Some guys who have done this for a long time like them over. Yes, the winless Lions. Over. "They play five teams coming off of Monday night games this season," says handicapper Bryan Leonard, by way of backing up his reasoning.
I'm assuming you're not one of those on the Lions, right Fez? Are you still as bearish on them as you were over at the previous Heim-infested message board?
Great to see you getting the national pub!
All the best.