Fezzik PLAYOFF PICKS: DIVISIONAL ROUND

Good to have one go our way! Any thoughts yet on Den/NE at 14 Fezz??

Sorry BK, I missed it. Too many things happening on Saturdays.

He said earlier to take it if it got that high. I took it at 14 but am wondering whether I should have waited.

It's not rocket science - the Saints generally take the ball. The 49ers generally defer. Getting .5 and the ball is +EV even at -140 I would think with a game line of 3 - especially if you thought SF would be down. There are certain teams that always defer or take the ball. Sometimes they play each other. NE/Indy is another example that has gone on for years with a realtively tight spread.

The play won. It was there to take if you wanted it, as I said earlier.

[QUOTE=anthony;50066]The play won. It was there to take if you wanted it, as I said earlier.[/QUOTE] Not trying to be a jerk Anthony as I generally LOVE the site but this is one of the things that REALLY bothers me about this site. A few of us have asked what to do on the late game now that NE is 14 and Fezz mentioned that he might like Den there. He is posting like crazy on Twitter but us guys that are paying for his insights on here dont get a peep.

Don't know about Twitter. But if that's so, it's not good. I'll take a look.

[QUOTE=anthony;50053]It's a tough thing to balance, but certain things are better not discussed. He's putting the bet out there to take if you believe in it, and of course there are clues to what it's about given the nature of it.[/QUOTE] Not really, he's spelled it out several times to show how smart he is. (I fully expect team A to take the ball and score....) . It's similar to the record boosting props that someone interested in making money by betting (and not inflating their record) would bet on their own.

SHarp books move up to 14 on NE........ Denver is gonna get killed I think....... 14-7 as I type this..........

2-0. Nice work Fezz. Thanks