Fezzik Preseason Week3

Fezzik Preseason Week3 255 Az/Ten OVER 40 1 weight 264 MIN -1 1 weight 281 Car/Jets OVER 38.5 1 weight
ALLRIGHT, FIRE THE MUSKETS NFL Pre week2 just averaged 45+ points. ALL these Pre week3 totals are gonna move UP So.....HIT EM ALL OVER, each 1 a 2 weight, across the board...... 251 OV 44 253 OV 40.5 Etc. Upgrade the previous totals plays from 1 to 2 weights. W will figure out what to do with them later.......
So bet 257 and 261 blindly when they come out?
We Will PASS on 257/258 Total, These guys play in week1, so no reason to expect fireworks. I think the market got the memo on 'overs' so for now PASS on 261/262 total. We have the following for 2 weights: 251 OV 44 253 OV 30.5 (EDIT 40.5) 255 OV 40.25 259 OV 39.5 263 OV 40.5 265 OV 40 267 OV 40.5 269 OV 41.5 271 OV 40 273 OV 43 275 OV 43.5 277 OV 40 279 OV 40 281 OV 39

[QUOTE=Fezzik;53257]253 OV 30.5[/QUOTE] Obviously, OV 40.5 was meant. [QUOTE=Fezzik;53257]255 OV 40.25[/QUOTE] Will grade as two plays: added OV 40.5, 1 wgt and the original as OV 40, 1 wgt. [QUOTE=Fezzik;53257]281 OV 39[/QUOTE] Will grade as two plays: added OV 39, 1 wgt and the original as OV 38.5, 1 wgt. Interesting to note that current pending plays (both NFL and NFLX) account for 90.9u, and pending RSW (and other prop) plays account for 64.36u. Readers should consider this when determining money management strategy.
Bailing out on the 4 games that bettors will look IMO to play UNDER, 2 weights on all... Don't be concerned with these 'skinny middles' these are the likely lemon overs in our portfolio.......happy to play em all back and we watch the other games drift upward a bit more...... 254 Jax/Bal UN 41.5 260 Atl/Mia UN 41.5 272 Pit/Buf UN 41 280 SF/DEn UN 41
Advice to all, if you miss bets/prices, I'd strongly advice you to not bet them.. Or bet them VERY small. It's not like I won't have a bunch of recommended bets. If you are out, and miss some plays that have moved, likely just pretend they don't exist. WHATEVER YOU DO, don't wait til post, then grab the bet or 2 that comes back into the range, as this bet(S) are very likley the lemons!
BET CLEV 258 -3-115 (ok -120) 2 weight. CRIS has -3-115 ..........
We saw the lines inflate as expected, now it's time to start choosing which middles to shoot for, and which overs we can roll the dice with. I always prefer 'overs' later in the week in preseason, not sure I can explain why, but for example, Sunday and Monday games are much higher scoring in presason. The market has reacted and bet 'over' just like I knew they would. Let's just go for our middles on Thursday. 252 GB/Cin UN 45.5 2 weight (no number is 'dead' in preseason, but 46 is a number that is darn hard to land on. 254 (we already played back UN 41.5) 256 Az/Ten UN 42.5 2 weight. Going to be rooting for games to land '41' this week no doubt......
[QUOTE=ComptrBob;53263] Interesting to note that current pending plays (both NFL and NFLX) account for 90.9u, and pending RSW (and other prop) plays account for 64.36u. Readers should consider this when determining money management strategy.[/QUOTE] and that was before all of these buy backs.... i know there's no chance in hell i can follow all these plays.... got not much of anything left to work with - how many units are we at now bob? Got to be north of 175 "out there"