Fezzik Week 14, BEARS 3 weight+3+100

[QUOTE=Rumpelstiltskin;35146]anthony built up the subscriber base with Fezzik's contest record (see sidebar). Not sure how we could expect anything different. I agree that it's a silly model. About as crazy as building a blackjack school from winning a blackjack tournament.[/QUOTE] Go back to 21, Chappy.

Oh, No!!!!! [QUOTE=skutch07;35145]Great call on the Bears Fezz. Please cancel my membership after the month is over! This site isn't worth $25 a month the only decent capper is Alf. Thanks[/QUOTE] skutch07 is leaving? this is dreadful news.

[QUOTE=skutch07;35145]Great call on the Bears Fezz. Please cancel my membership after the month is over! This site isn't worth $25 a month the only decent capper is Alf. Thanks[/QUOTE] This is just so weak. These are the types that move from tout to tout hoping for the magic pill that will make them money without their having to do a damn thing. That doesn't exist, folks. I've canceled him and will refund his $11 or whatever. People who don't have the stomach for losing should not be involved in gambling or speculating on any level.

Well said & well done AC!!

Bears +3 was a good pick. NE -2 became available so anyone who took FEZ's +3 had a good ticket. I wish I could get +3 and -2 on every NFL game.

I sure dont envy your position Fez. Unfair critizism and backlash

unfair criticism

No, the criticism is valid My point is that I am having a good year, but with bets with razor thin edges, and more and more I HAVE NO CLUE what the right bet it, just how to build a good portfolio. NYG -3.5-110 was tough to find when I posted it, but out there. I have little to no doubt I will get +5-105 or +4+107 or +3+139 or +3.5 +116 tomorrow. Based on this I probably should have gone ALLIN on it, and then gotten ALLOUT and dumped it 1 hour to kickoff. Which is better? -3.5 -110 or +3.5 +120? I really couldn't tell you.......both look good to me. Call the 'true' line -3.5 -115 and we have a razor thin 4-5 cent edge.........but then bet 11 big to make 10, and bet 9.5 big to make 11.5, and suddenly this sports betting stuff looks pretty damn easy, make $500 on 1 game risk free.........

[QUOTE=Fezzik;35179]My point is that I am having a good year, but with bets with razor thin edges, and more and more I HAVE NO CLUE what the right bet it, just how to build a good portfolio. NYG -3.5-110 was tough to find when I posted it, but out there. I have little to no doubt I will get +5-105 or +4+107 or +3+139 or +3.5 +116 tomorrow. Based on this I probably should have gone ALLIN on it, and then gotten ALLOUT and dumped it 1 hour to kickoff. Which is better? -3.5 -110 or +3.5 +120? I really couldn't tell you.......both look good to me. Call the 'true' line -3.5 -115 and we have a razor thin 4-5 cent edge.........but then bet 11 big to make 10, and bet 9.5 big to make 11.5, and suddenly this sports betting stuff looks pretty damn easy, make $500 on 1 game risk free.........[/QUOTE] For what it's worth, there is 25k worth of offers at Matchbook for NYG -3.5 (-110) which even after commissions is close enough.

Play back the other guys for 3 units Best line you can find 30 minutes prior to post. I haven't exactly been nailing winners this month, but I do prefer the NYG side....... Note, how 'easy' it is to get a good portfoloio with dozens of outs to get -3.5 -110, and +4+114, BUT no good with a few outs where you wind up with garbage like -4-110, +5-110.....