Fezzik's approach

[QUOTE=Redskins;46884]I think those guys were venting and a little frustrated. I am assuming they just joined recently, and ran into some bad timing with the selections. Stick it out for a few month's, then if you feel this site is not for you, part ways.[/QUOTE] Look at the join date. One of them joined over 2 years ago and has never had a post.

I stick to the motto that has been clearly stated here ad nauseum, I paraphrase but..."[B]Take what you like and leave the rest![/B]" I personally couldn't pull the trigger on the Rams or Denver, so I didn't. It sounds as though you fellas have some idea what you are doing, try not pulling the trigger if you don't like the [B]suggested bet[/B]. I had a great week not following blindly. I took some PSTONE(Fantastic week), added in a little DUDE(top notch all the way), sprinkled in a dash of RICKJ(a home dog better), a little FEZZIK and some of my own NIPSYHUSTLE magic powder and was up just over 5 units. The key for me is using this site for good leans and information. Putting the information to work and if it feels and smells right, firing away! Case in point: I was already on MI -20.5 early in the week.(The Gophers are horrible!) Then someone posted about it being off the board and a response came as to why. I did a little more research at both local papers websites and put some more at -19.5 later when it was put back up. Used correctly I believe this site is a great tool, but it is just [B]one tool[/B]. As far as I know you can't fix every problem with a hammer! Nipsy

Guys, I didn't call Fezz any names, I didn't cry about losing and I didn't make any factual misrepresentations. My point was that when you're the "expert" and losing consistantly, a critical review of approach may be justified. I personally think Sean1 is on the right track, and had hoped my comments might spark a discussion like that, not attacks from Fezz's fanboys. The game evolves and approaches and concepts must as well. Six years ago Fezz was talking about winning subsets, but my pure guess is that line adjustments have made those disappear. Double digit home dogs used to be a winning subset, but I suspect that as defense has been legislated out of the game, road dogs of more than 7 have become statistically poor plays. The trick now may be to identify teams better or worse than the public thinks, and what I said yesterday is that Jax, StL and Denver are every bit as bad as the public thinks and probably worse. BTW, I'm no newbie, and Anthony, you should know that. My failure to post is simply because I don't get off on competing with people who I know are better at this than I am and who put more time into it. And, yes, Fezz is certainly one of those people, but that doesn't mean we can't constructively criticize him. Any way, since several here have asked to see my opinions "before the kickoff", a fair point, here it is: I would look to go against teams who may be more flawed than their public perception, Phil and Pitt for example and on teams that may be better than their public perception, Det. and SF for example. That's why next week I love Det. laying 6 to the Bears. The Bears should have lost yesterday, Det. had their let down game (for one half) and they will be sky high at home on Monday night. Match-ups work in this game also, specifically Chi off. line v. Det. defensive line and Det. passing game v. Chi. secondary. Also Buff looks like a very live home dog and GB looks like an appealing road favorite. Lastly it would help us all if Fezz provided some explanation for his picks, not necessarily complete write ups, but at least something more than "good spot for them here." If you're not going to discuss, and even defend, your picks, than the Forum seems little more than a tout service.

[QUOTE=Canoehead;46891]Guys, I didn't call Fezz any names, I didn't cry about losing and I didn't make any factual misrepresentations. My point was that when you're the "expert" and losing consistantly, a critical review of approach may be justified. I personally think Sean1 is on the right track, and had hoped my comments might spark a discussion like that, not attacks from Fezz's fanboys. The game evolves and approaches and concepts must as well. Six years ago Fezz was talking about winning subsets, but my pure guess is that line adjustments have made those disappear. Double digit home dogs used to be a winning subset, but I suspect that as defense has been legislated out of the game, road dogs of more than 7 have become statistically poor plays. The trick now may be to identify teams better or worse than the public thinks, and what I said yesterday is that Jax, StL and Denver are every bit as bad as the public thinks and probably worse. BTW, I'm no newbie, and Anthony, you should know that. My failure to post is simply because I don't get off on competing with people who I know are better at this than I am and who put more time into it. And, yes, Fezz is certainly one of those people, but that doesn't mean we can't constructively criticize him. Any way, since several here have asked to see my opinions "before the kickoff", a fair point, here it is: I would look to go against teams who may be more flawed than their public perception, Phil and Pitt for example and on teams that may be better than their public perception, Det. and SF for example. That's why next week I love Det. laying 6 to the Bears. The Bears should have lost yesterday, Det. had their let down game (for one half) and they will be sky high at home on Monday night. Match-ups work in this game also, specifically Chi off. line v. Det. defensive line and Det. passing game v. Chi. secondary. Also Buff looks like a very live home dog and GB looks like an appealing road favorite. Lastly it would help us all if Fezz provided some explanation for his picks, not necessarily complete write ups, but at least something more than "good spot for them here." If you're not going to discuss, and even defend, your picks, than the Forum seems little more than a tout service.[/QUOTE] I agree w/ everything u say here exctpe one thing - Det's public perception .... how can u say that with a straight face? The last few weeks they've been one of the most publicly bet team of the week. I guarantee far more people on Det than Chi next week. That statement is a bit silly.... SF yes, poor public perception, definitely not Det. Everything else u said sounds fine 2 me.

Ice, thanks for the kind words. Det. is a cinderella in the public eye. As soon as they have a stinker, and all temas do, the public perception will fall like a rock, and there will be real value the next week. Like the matchups in that game more than perception angle anyway, but would not be surprised to see line go to 7 based on what you say. That's why laying 6 now looks good to me. Without benefit of bad bounce, bad call, turnovers, kick return or pick 6 Chi cannot stay with Det.