FYI: Take Florida -11/ Chaos with UC Football!

[QUOTE=Old School;12612]Not convinced at all that having played for, and won, two titles will help this team be up for un underrated Cin team. And remember, you are betting into a horrible set of 8 point or more favorites (18-45). I cannot remember DDD being +EV in bowls EVER![/QUOTE] You're not convinced that perhaps the best college football player EVER will want to go out on a high note? Meyer has been EXCELLENT at getting this team prepared to play against the better teams, i.e. 17-5 ATS record against teams with a winning record the last three years. Last year's Bama team was an immature bunch that lost an absolute heartbreaker of a game, as they led the entire way. This year's Florida team is much more seasoned, accomplished, and they just were flat-out beatdown in that SEC championship. There was nothing heartbreaking about it. While I wholeheartedly agree that the DD favorite is a -EV subset to bet into, this situation calls for a much different play IMO. Florida gets the big picture. Their senior class will go down as perhaps the best in school history--and even NCAA history. They'll be amped to cement their legacy with an emphatic defeat of an "undefeated" team. And on top of all the above factors, I get a reeling Bearcat program that feels betrayed and has to adapt to a new head coach? I can see the Gillyards and the Pikes listening to their new coach with wide eyes and ears---yeah, right. This isn't like West Va. two years ago after Rich Rod left. This Cincy team doesn't have an old guard they can rally around. And their facing the best class of players (Florida seniors) in the last twenty years of college football.

[QUOTE=custer;12617]Hey OS, how have 8 pt or more favs done over the past 63 bowl games?[/QUOTE] i did some research and they're 18-45. anyone please step in if they arrived at different results.

[QUOTE=goose148900;12652]i did some research and they're 18-45. anyone please step in if they arrived at different results.[/QUOTE] With the Fresno loss, 8 point favorites are now 18-46. How did Florida do in their bowl in 2007 vs Michigan in between their championships?

[QUOTE=Old School;12667]With the Fresno loss, 8 point favorites are now 18-46. How did Florida do in their bowl in 2007 vs Michigan in between their championships?[/QUOTE] Not well. But if you think that's a comparable situation, I guess we won't be finding common ground on this one. But it's funny you mention that example because in that game Michigan was the team with a bunch of upperclassmen playing their last game (and playing for Lloyd Carr's last game). Looking back, Michigan had an impressive collection of talent, with Henne, Hart, Long, Arrington, Manningham, all guys currently in the NFL. Those seniors, many of them four year contributors, were one of the most accomplished classes Michigan has ever had, and they brought their A+ effort for their last game ever.

You simply CANNOT bet DDF in bowls! -EV since forever! Well, at least 50 years!

Tebow will be pumped, but I'm not sure everyone rallies around him for his last game. His rah-rah shit is great when everyone is going for a national title. Not sure he will get the same effect in the consolation bowl. I also don't buy the outgoing seniors having a better attitude for the game the year after they won the national championship. It's easy to try and find a reason for Bama's performance last year (youth), but the reality is.. it's just a tough spot for anyone.

Yes, Florida was a big favorite to win their third title in 4 years. I see no reason they will NOT be flat!

[QUOTE=Old School;12682]Yes, Florida was a big favorite to win their third title in 4 years. I see no reason they will NOT be flat![/QUOTE] Correction, you mean you only have ONE reason to fade the Gators.

[QUOTE=pistolpete21;12685]Correction, you mean you only have ONE reason to fade the Gators.[/QUOTE] This makes NO sense! WTF!

some good postings. but this is Florida 2009 football Hello, Some very inciteful posts here. However, this the 2009 Florida Gator Football team. I dont understand comparisons to bad Big Ten teams in the past? To me, cap the game based on the 2009 Florida Gators....