The right way to play this 1h pk -115 Mirage
Ken and I disagree on this BW stuff, and frankly he has been right lately, and I have been wrong.
I always tell him, when he can give me BW info. BEFORE it is bet it is 100% gold GREAT solid winning stuff.
BUT.........when I hear about it AFTER a move (or after most of the move) ESPECIALLY in the NFL, I tend to
ignore it, or fade it. No one betting the Giant -2.5 is going to win at this. The line opened +2.75 on these guys.
So.....you are basically bettting -130 when you missed on the +130 great bet. If you can find a good devivative bet
on GMen at stale numbers, then fire with impunity. If you are staring at -2.5 you have to pass. If you see 3, you have
to play Eagles IMO.
YES, the Gmen are very angry about the way the Eagles ended their season, and McRib got on the phone, etc. BUT .....cmon,
Giants are just barely the better team ON THE ROAD. NO way you can justify -3 here.
As an example, LT +3 was gold yesterday, a great tip vs. IDaho BEFORE the move! AT +2 it was a clear no bet...........