Hou vs. TB this game is the most misaligned on the card according to my power rankings. I made the game Hou (-7). Can someone make a case for Tampa in this game? I am struggling to see anything that doesn't warrant a decent size bet on Houston and this line moving higher by Sunday.
Tampa is below average in Offensive passing YPA, rushing YPA, and converting 3rd downs. Tampa D is way below average in defending the pass giving up 7.75 YPA and they are playing a very good Houston passing offense. TB defensively is bad against the rush as well and Houston is a juggernaut running the ball.
We all know Houston is solid on offense and their D is way above average against the pass and run so far this season. Houston has a reputation for being soft on the road but they are 2-2 on the road with losses to New Orleans and Baltimore and ATS wins vs Miami and Tennessee. Not bad.
The only case I can make for Tampa is they are a home dog with a good offensive running game with Blount. Houston might not give a great effort on the road vs NFC opponent. But in week 2 Houston (-3) played @ Miami and won by 10.
Am I missing something.... can anyone make a case for Tampa?