How To Make Good Money From This Site.... Give a man a fish, feed him for a day....I followed Fezzik's site and several others for years, but nobody has made me more money than Fezzik, and almost none of it has been directly from playing his picks.
[B]
Here's what happened...
1.Fezzik talked about line value, so I studied line value, then I heard them refer to Stanford Wong's book about Sports Betting so I read that and learned what the value of a half-point was worth. King Yao's Weighing the Odds in Sports Betting was another one.
2.Fezzik talked about the value of having several outs at different types of shops (square, sharp, etc...) getting you the best numbers, so that's what I did, because I learned the value of these half-points and the rogue numbers Fezz talked about.
3.Then Fezzik showed how to turn $1000 into $10,000 by betting, which also was a display of the Kelly Criterion, which I then studied and got enough info to employ.
4.Fezz also showed thru time how to be successful at contests, if you listen.
5.I talked to other sharp bettors from the site, and we exchanged (carefully) information, and helped make each other profitable bettors.
6.I studied statistics and probabilities enough to employ them in basic casino and sports gambling. Possibly the most indispensable part of gambling. You'll never get the confidence of knowing what you're doing without knowing stats and probabilities.
7.I looked over at Anthony's section and picked up information and learned how to play profitably in casino games, and people turned me to good info and additional sites regarding casino games.
8.Fezz says it is almost impossible to play profitably at widely available lines, so I learned how to make my own numbers and develop different types of models to help get good plays at numbers better than the closing line.[/B]
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My opinion is nobody is gonna give you free money, but a lot of people are going to make money off of people looking for free money. Like everything else, it takes a lot of work, and an understanding of the nature of the business. 8 game losing streaks and 5-15 runs, even 40-60 runs are part of the business.
The difference is in knowing you have a long-term edge, and properly managing money will allow you to emerge intact from these aspects of the business which either discourage or destroy the amateur bettor.
Picks with WA numbers posted are almost for fun, to spark interesting, informative and educational conversation regarding handicapping. They also reflect the serious side of the business as it is money.
But they aren't to make people rich, per se, and that's where a lot of new people get frustrated because they expect to see a lot of money from these picks, and aren't aware of the downsides.
I would suggest posting a sticky at the top of this site called "What To Expect From This Site" so customers don't get as frustrated when picks lose, and a section entitled "What to Expect From Sports Gambling" so folks understand the nature of sports gambling and to increase their education and enjoyment level and don't suffer from unrealistic expectations, ignorance and pipe-dreams.
Fezzik may self-admittedly not be the best handicapper, but he is a GREAT bettor, and a great contest player imo.
