Sean1, I think if you're a follower you'll find that you end up with Fezzik's plays anyway. Indy +7, maybe you're book has +7-105...Fezzik comes around and bets +7-110 and now it is moving on Indy....you go follow with +7-105.
I also would think Fezzik's plays are somewhat in the direction of the money but he'll throw a few douzies out there like the Rams +3 for a 4 weight a few weeks ago or Baltimore -11 for a 1 weight last week to sink your ship. He'll need a few of these contrary plays right but overall I don't think that is a big part of the releases. Most of the time he really has got you on plays where the money is going, where sharp bettors including himself are betting and you're getting it at -105 books before they move sounds good.
I don't know how you rescue yourself. I already bet Indianapolis +7.5 BEFORE there is any release on this board of the play. And I'm following this bet because someone like Fez and others put big money on it at books with large limits. Of course he's got a better number than this board on the game and so might followers and then it gets released here. You're giving up some of the edge by playing that number but you're in on the sharp play. And he still finds stuff that moves after that so the board is on some good numbers. Admittedly a later number might not hold up as well to a playback on Atlanta let's say for an example and when it loses you pay extra juice on the loss.
RAS is the same thing. I have bet many totals over the years and had no idea it was RAS. I know guys out here who still bet them and they have no idea it is RAS. I try to tell them. They don't care. They have a number 2 pts worse than RAS but 2 pts better than Pinnacle and Bet Cris they bet it and they don't care where it is from. They're going to win if RAS wins. The 2 pts is going to effect the season results but in all likelihood RAS beating WA numbers is very highly correlated to betting strategy playing off numbers on RAS plays.
So YOU KNOW you can win? Then you should know that guys like RAS have won and guys like Fez have won plain and simple. He has won betting into -110 lines somehow someway.