I made a mistake not 5 weighting the Bengals UN 8.5 wins.......

I made a mistake not 5 weighting the Bengals UN 8.5 wins....... I loved the under. My NFL inside expert loved the under. We bet UN 8 wins +100 at open. Loved the bet......THEN 1. Palmer looked healthy 2. T.O. got acquired 3. Gresham TE pickup was looking good The market suddenly loved the Bengals......$$$ poured in ON them up to 8.5. I DID pull the trigger for some more UN 8.5, but I should have been able to recognize this was a "panic fire" market play from the public and not sharp money. An example of where my respect for the overall bettting marketplace costs us all money.

Easy to say now Easy to say now. Season wins moves as worthy of respect as any moves out there and reticence to buck them is a no-brainer policy.

I bet cin over 8. Just one of many of my bets that don't end up working out. I also bet Dallas over. lmao. and buffalo over, lolololol Have car under, nyg over, oak over, pit over though too. I had all bets rated about equal before the season. My point is that there's a lot of randomness, and almost all bets are very slightly good or very slightly bad. You can't ever tell from any 1 result how good or bad a bet was. All you can do is the best you can, have fun, and stop doing it if you're not happy with the overall results. Whether something's a good bet or a bad bet, its never that good and never that bad

[QUOTE=custer;32310]I bet cin over 8. Just one of many of my bets that don't end up working out. I also bet Dallas over. lmao. and buffalo over, lolololol Have car under, nyg over, oak over, pit over though too. I had all bets rated about equal before the season. My point is that there's a lot of randomness, and almost all bets are very slightly good or very slightly bad. You can't ever tell from any 1 result how good or bad a bet was. All you can do is the best you can, have fun, and stop doing it if you're not happy with the overall results. Whether something's a good bet or a bad bet, its never that good and never that bad[/QUOTE] Custer - not sure I agree with your sentiments here - I know where your coming from but really anybody whos doing this at a good level knows they have the stone cold nuts when certain bets come up and they are able to vary there stakes accordingly - I bet alot of futures and prop type bets match ups and asian handicaps soccer and plenty of inplay stuff - when the market agress with you and moves plenty - you are more than half way there already. you just know you have great bets.. with the cinn bet lots of late factors that could have made them better before the season - sometimes hard to get a really good read when the team is coming out with such positive news - it would knock anybody of it to be fair - would not beat ones self up over it but nevertheless it is frustrating

What number of units do you bet on season total wagers? I don't think that it is the same as a regular wager on a given event.

'I know where your coming from but really anybody whos doing this at a good level knows they have the stone cold nuts when certain bets come up and they are able to vary there stakes accordingly' while i obv agree with varying wager size, i don't agree with this statement past that. I think all 'stone cold nuts' etc talk is in hindsight

[QUOTE=custer;32310]Whether something's a good bet or a bad bet, its never that good and never that bad[/QUOTE] Well said young man.

[QUOTE=truushot;32330]What number of units do you bet on season total wagers? I don't think that it is the same as a regular wager on a given event.[/QUOTE] Small market, tough to get down enough.

Custer you still haver your NFC +1.5 to fall back on . UH OH. Never mind.

I would have taken nfc +2 +110. Which obv i never got. I'd still take it now.