Indianapolis -6 or better is...

Indianapolis -6 or better is... one great bet. Better Defense, off a bye at home against an overrated Baltimore team.
Baltimore definitely has the better defense here. I can see some adjusting for Indy throwing in the towel the last two weeks, but yards per play numbers and more advanced stuff from Football Outsiders have Baltimore ahead pretty clearly. Now, they might not match up well vs the Indy offense in particular, but defense for defense, Baltimore is the stronger unit.
I didn't think Baltimore was that good when I bet the Pats last weekend. I know Indy is better than the pats but Baltimore can run the ball and play defense. Personally I am staying away from this game but good luck with your play!
im leaning indy at the current market, as well. -6.5 +02 really like indy -3 -10 in 1st half when and if it shows.

Baltimore defense without Webb and a hurting E Reed is barely above avg, IMO.
[QUOTE=Calsport;14805]Baltimore defense without Webb and a hurting E Reed is barely above avg, IMO.[/QUOTE] I need to look at this a lot closer so no final verdict yet but I think the Indy defense is vastly underrated. They have performed extremely well all year long. To me they were a huge part of this teams success this year, even with some of the injuries they experienced.
I'm on IND 1q and 1h. 1h -3 would be great but not gonna happen imo. I guess maybe in Vegas.