Is Fezzik Different This Year?

In all seriousness the only thing that is different with Fezzik and BW is the the sheer weight of money - BW stuff can get very fucking scary very quick -have seen him (one of his beards) say how much ! can i have 200 or 300 grand on this side or what ! The big difference on the above quote is that bw can do it on gameday where others cant.. These other guys take out totals on Wednesday when the market is a mere fraction of what it is on Saturday... Sure bw could rattle off 60% winners on Wed. totals at 5k a rattle..... or wait till Saturday and produce 54% winners at 200 dimes a rattle.... do the math.

Fezzik is one of the best at this. It is a shame he won't write a book or give more insights into betting trends like good and bad spots for teams etc.

OSU O was clearly the right side in that game.

why was it clearly the right side ?? The game was on 40 and Indiana scored a garbage TD to end the game. The golfer was under 48 and higher.... whats right about over 47 and 47.5 for a huge bet ??

What's right is that virtually EVERYTHING had to go wrong for the U to come in. Any game that is lined 47.5 that is at 31 or 34 or whatever it is at the half without a slew of turn overs means the O was the right bet. Combine that with 2 missed field goals and OSU getting picked off in the endzone (if I recall correctly) and this game if played 50 times would likely have averaged well over 50 points. Irregardless of whether BW was on U, Fezzik had the right side on this game. If it was played again, the O/U line would be at least 2 points higher.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;4909]Sometimes we give BW too much respect. He just hires the best in the business, and follows their plays. If BW had hired Charlie (which he would most certainly do if he could) then these plays would be 'BW plays!!'. The initial line moves are typically somewhat meaningless. What is significant is the CLOSING line. On seveeral totals we have given out it moves, it stabilizes, a little buyback occurs, and then it moves some more! As for "am I different" I stay up 8 hours Monday night and update my totals power rating for every team based on boxscores and major injuries. I developed a program to use those ratings to set totals for the week based on the matchups. Then I manually adjust lines. Then I normalize those lines to sum to a certain number each week. Then I compare to my totals specialist, Charile J's numbers. They have come in line this year, our two numbers are very close in most games. I weight Charlie's numbers 70% and mine 30%. THAT is one fine unbiased estimate. If I hear Billy may/is on 351 Col 'under' 61, and we make it 63.1, I don't care. I bet OVER 61. Our numbers are almost always right. We hit well over 60% (and I mean WAY over) vs. opening lines the last 2 years. If Billy likes UNDER 61 in that game, he made a mistake.[/QUOTE] Who is "BW", and what does the weighted numbers in Fezzik's selections mean?

[QUOTE=Fezzik;4939]I learned a great amount in 2005. I looks back 4 years, and realize how badly I played. Of course, in 2013 I may well do the same........[/QUOTE] What did 2005 teach you, exactly? Just that the market has caught up to NFL dogs?

[QUOTE=eppy224;5043]Who is "BW", and what does the weighted numbers in Fezzik's selections mean?[/QUOTE] BW is noted gambler Billy Walters (google is your friend). Higher the weight the stronger the play. 2 is stroonger than 1.

I know that when I have faded Fezzik this year I have been CRUSHED! Facts are facts. You want to book his bets?

[QUOTE=JohnnyGun;5046]BW is noted gambler Billy Walters (google is your friend). Higher the weight the stronger the play. 2 is stroonger than 1.[/QUOTE] And what is the highest? By the way, thanks for the reply.