I joined a couple of weeks ago in preparation for spending the last week of the year in Las Vegas. I wanted to make some large sports bets prior to year end. I would have bet $70k (at 7 to 1) against Phil Ivey in November if I could have figured out how/where to make that bet. I hoped this forum might help with such questions.
Prior to this last week, I bet three times against Oscar de la Hoya (Mosely, Mayweather, Pacquaio) and I bet a few NFL games that friends recommended. Although my lifetime sports bets numbered less than 10, I won every one of these bets. I thought if I joined this forum, read the posts, and bet on the consensus, then I should at least break even. Anything more could be attributed to the value of the forum.
The seven football bets I chose to make were recommendations from the forum. I generally did not accept worse lines than the recommendations stated. However, I did pick up the Texas A&M/Georgia OVER at 65.5 when some books had it at 67. The recommended OVER 64 would have been a push. Here are my bet results:
12/27 Kentucky +7 over Clemson at -110 LOST
12/27 Raiders +3 over Browns at even LOST
12/27 Broncos +7 over Eagles at -125 WON
12/27 Redskins +7 over Cowboys at -105 and -110 LOST
12/28 Texas A&M/Georgia OVER 65.5 LOST
12/30 Nebraska/Arizona OVER 39.5 LOST
12/31 Stanford/Oklahoma UNDER 56 LOST
My needs from this forum include not only what bet to make, but which book I should go to that will take my action. I found myself driving all over town trying to find the best lines. Oddly, at South Coast, when they offered to take only $2000 on the “Stanford/Oklahoma UNDER 56”, I walked away without making any bet. When I returned a minute later, they had lowered it to 55.5. I should have then asked for $10,000 on “Stanford/Oklahoma OVER 55.5”. This is similar to what BlackJack players call the Reno Shuffle --- where the player wants a bad deck shuffled so he makes a larger than allowed increase in his bet size.
I hate to start an argument or offend the regulars with my first post, but my limited time on this forum indicates the recommendations may be of value as a contrary indicator.