It's professional football season! I know everyone is super stoked that the CFL starts this week! There are folks who read this board regularly who do serious CFL handicapping, so I thought I'd throw out some thoughts.
First, I'm surprised to find totals this high. The average opening total for this week's games was 53.875. The average total for last year's regular season's games was just over 53. Last year week 1 started off with some high scoring games, but that seems to be an aberration. Going back a decade, the tendency in week 1 seems to be for games to be lower scoring in the early part of the year. I'm also not sure what would lead someone to think scoring will be up generally this year. If someone has a theory as to why this might be the case, I'd love to hear it. In the mean time, there almost has to be at least one good under to bet, but I'm not at all sure which it is. I'm thinking it might be WIN/HAM under 53 where you can find it.
On the sides, just about everyone's projection for the top four teams are playing at home this week. The lines aren't that far off what I got based on my pre-season power ratings. I mildly like Calgary -7.5 against Toronto. If I can find a 7, I'd take that (don't even think of buying on or off the 7 in the CFL.)
I also very mildly prefer MON -6.5 and SAS +7.5, but not enough to bet.
Thoughts?
