MLB Dog System That Won Me +16.75 Units This Season!

MLB Dog System That Won Me +16.75 Units This Season! Going to share this very easy MLB Dog Betting System with the board. Really don't have the time to put into handicapping, so came up with a system that I thought would have some value to it. I stopped at All-Star Break. Here is the exact log on my desk-top (Don't know if you guys will be able to read it clearly, but will post it anyway): MLB DIVISION HOME DOG OFF LOSS SYSTEM (Missed the first 3-days, April 6th, 7th, and 8th): Rule - PLAY on any HOME DOG in a DIVISIONAL GAME coming off a LOSS. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4-9-09 Padres+40. >>> (W) 1-0 = +1.40 units. 4-10-09 Brewers+36, Dbacks+02, Orioles+13 >>> (W/W/W) = +3.51 units. 4-11-09 White Sox+101 >>> (W) = +1.01 units. 4-12-09 Brewers+25 >>> (L) 0-1 = -1.00 units. 4-13-09 Nationals+07 >>> (L) 0-1 = -1.00 units. 4-16-09 Nationals+25 >>> (W) 1-0 = +1.25 units. 4-17-09 Giants+31 >>> (W) 1-0 = +1.31 units. 4-18-09 Nationals+35 >>> (L) 0-1 = -1.00 units. 4-19-09 Nationals+36 >>> (L) 0-1 = -1.00 units. 4-20-09 Nationals+40 >>> (W) 1-0 = +1.40 units. 4-24-09 Astros+15 >>> (L) 0-1 = -1.00 units. 4-26-09 Astros+05, Rockies+19, Royals+30 >>> (W/W/L)2-1= +1.24 units. 4-27-09 Giants+20 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.20 units. 5-2-09 Pirates+02 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.02 units. 5-4-09 Pirates+26, Padres+05 >>> (L/L)0-2 = -2.00 units. 5-6-09 Marlis+35, Astros+39 >>> (L/L)0-2 = -2.00 units. 5-7-09 Marlins+08, Padres+10, Astros+36 >>> (L/W/L) = -0.90 units. 5-9-09 Orioles+43 >>> (W) = +1.43 units. 5-12-09 Pirates+06, Orioles+22 >>> (W/W)2-0 = +2.28 units. 5-14-09 Blue Jays+25 >>> (L)0-1 = -1.00 units. 5-19-09 Cardinals+106 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.06 units. 5-20-09 Astros+103, Mariners+31 >>> (W/W)2-0 = +2.34 units. 5-22-09 Interleague Play/Time Off.--------------------------------------------------- 5-29-09 Blue Jays+08 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.08 units. 5-30-09 Pirates+34 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.34 units. 6-6-09 Nationals+19, Reds+19, Padres+15 >>> (W/W/W)3-0= +3.53 units. 6-9-09 Dbacks+11 >>> (L)0-1 = -1.00 units. 6-10-09 White Sox+27 >>> (L)0-1 = -1.00 units. 6-11-09 White S0x+06 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.06 units. 6-12-09 Interleague Play/Time Off.--------------------------------------------------- 6-29-09 Orioles+45 >>> (L)0-1 = -1.00 units. 6-30-09 Pirates+23, Blue Jays+18, Orioles+16 >>> (W/L/W)2-1= +1.39 units. 7-1-09 Blue Jays+14 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.14 units. 7-2-09 Royals+40 >>> (W)0-1 = -1.00 units. 7-3-09 Nationals+17, Padres+24 >>> (L/L)0-2 = -2.00 units. 7-4-09 Nationals+13, Padres+33, Royals+13 >>> (W/W/W)3-0= +3.59 units. 7-10-09 Cubs+18 >>> (L)0-1 = -1.00 units. 7-11-09 Orioles+07 >>> (W)1-0 = +1.07 units.

Looks like it all came in clearly.

According to my numbers playing all home dogs would have resulted in +33.5 units YTD--but with over 650 plays, obviously a lot more exposure. Also, what made you quit the system after the all-star break?

That's a good question Buck ... I just figured those nasty dogs that were like 20 plus games out of first place wouldn't give a crap... But I probably should have played on.

Great thought process here -- appreciate the input around this system. MLB can be so easy to make a modest profit by simply following a solid thought process via a system play like this. Anyone able to run data on this over time?? I am guessing this is a slight +EV year after year.

understand there's zero mathematical basis for this system and your winning was more or less a lucky result. over the long term, without handicapping (or stale numbers) baseball is extraordinarily difficult to beat.

Understood Goose148900! That is why I came up with this system ... Wanted something very short-term ... In and out, and not play a lot of games.

I have looked through my database for this system for 2003-2008, and it actually looks pretty solid, but only for months april through july. August is breakeven and september-october is negative. Without looking at who the Hometeam played yesterday, the data looks like this: Opening line: +62 units over 546 games. 11.3% yield (others would call it ROI) Closing line: +46 units over 546 games. 8,5% yield However it can be modified. If they played and lost to the same opponent the night before, the system instead looks line this: Opening line: +55 units over 404 games. 13.5% Yield Closing line: +43 units over 404 games. 10.5% Yield If I look on yearly performance, 2003, 2004 and 2007 looks like the best years, with 2006 and 2008 around breakeven. I don´t have any figures for 2009, but according to your stats above, it looks like its was a quite good year. On average the system produces about 65 bets pr. year.

[QUOTE=Superskrub;3010]I have looked through my database for this system for 2003-2008, and it actually looks pretty solid, but only for months april through july. August is breakeven and september-october is negative. Without looking at who the Hometeam played yesterday, the data looks like this: Opening line: +62 units over 546 games. 11.3% yield (others would call it ROI) Closing line: +46 units over 546 games. 8,5% yield However it can be modified. If they played and lost to the same opponent the night before, the system instead looks line this: Opening line: +55 units over 404 games. 13.5% Yield Closing line: +43 units over 404 games. 10.5% Yield If I look on yearly performance, 2003, 2004 and 2007 looks like the best years, with 2006 and 2008 around breakeven. I don´t have any figures for 2009, but according to your stats above, it looks like its was a quite good year. On average the system produces about 65 bets pr. year.[/QUOTE] Nice going Superskrub! You whipped that up pretty fast man! Do you have a database for NFL & NBA games too (or just MLB)?

I have databases for NFL, mlb, NHL, nba, cfl, ncaabk, ncaafb, wnba, arena - and my partner has for All major soccer Leagues. However its far from all that are up to date. Most have games from late 2008 and some years back