My favorite double bet of the week.

My favorite double bet of the week. Washington St. +46 and Over 53. What percentage of the time do you get scooped on two lines like this?

don't know if you can parlay these or not, but it seems if you like wsu, you should take the under with it.

It's +43 and U that you want. You wont find anywhere left that legitimately pays that takes these unless you have a local or are willing to use D and F books

[QUOTE=Yappy Dave;3398]Washington St. +46 and Over 53. What percentage of the time do you get scooped on two lines like this?[/QUOTE] You may not get scooped much, but you will almost never win both as they are very anti-correlated so you are paying juice with almost no chance of hitting both. What is the point of doing that?

the correlated angle when betting two sides is a big myth. Many sharp bettors often bet favorite and under when the side is 40+% of the total. The side and the total are two separate entities, period.

[QUOTE=11 > 10;3428]the correlated angle when betting two sides is a big myth. Many sharp bettors often bet favorite and under when the side is 40+% of the total. The side and the total are two separate entities, period.[/QUOTE] A big myth that every sportsbook has noticed they lose their ass on. They must have just gotten REAL unlucky.

I wasnt referring to correlated parlays, of course those are plus ev when the side is 40+% of the total. But that doesnt mean that if Tennessee is deemed to be the right side at -22 that over 44 is likely to be the right side in the same game. Fave and under is a very common combo that sharp bettors often line up on.

Perhaps I have no idea what I'm talking about, but let me reduce this bet down to simplicity. Assuming any side is 50/50 come game time and that any total is 50/50. If you take a side and a total, you win 25% of the time. That means in this case, I should win outright 25% of the time (give or take 3% on juice, line disperity, etc.) Also, I should LOSE both bets 25% of the time. Except in this scenario, the odds of losing both are 1-2%, since we would need a final score of 49-0, 48-0, and 49-2 or some other whack result to lose both. Are you seriously telling me that the odds of winning both is not 5% better (to beat the juice) than those 3 exact final scores, plus any bizarre finals that fit that spread?

[QUOTE=Yappy Dave;3447]Perhaps I have no idea what I'm talking about, but let me reduce this bet down to simplicity. Assuming any side is 50/50 come game time and that any total is 50/50. If you take a side and a total, you win 25% of the time. That means in this case, I should win outright 25% of the time (give or take 3% on juice, line disperity, etc.) Also, I should LOSE both bets 25% of the time. Except in this scenario, the odds of losing both are 1-2%, since we would need a final score of 49-0, 48-0, and 49-2 or some other whack result to lose both. Are you seriously telling me that the odds of winning both is not 5% better (to beat the juice) than those 3 exact final scores, plus any bizarre finals that fit that spread?[/QUOTE] I had to read it 3 times, but I kinda understand what you are saying. Basically, you answered your own question when you set it up -- if each bet is going to win 50% of the time and lose 50% of the time, by definition you are going to lose the juice in the long run -- doesn't matter what the bets are. Right? It just happens that both of these are on the same game which can be confusing sometimes. They are anti-correlated, so you are going to win 1 and lose 1 a greater % of the time than if you picked 2 other random bets. You have to think of them as separate bets, and if neither of them are +EV, they are no good. A parlay on the other hand..... :)

I would like to book this bet. I'll give you 3 to 1 odds.