NE PATS UNDER 11.5 wins +100, 1 weight

NE PATS UNDER 11.5 wins +100, 1 weight thegreek has this +120......I'd two weight it +115 or higher.....
What would you do with 12 Under+115? 3 weight?
[QUOTE=burger;1493]What would you do with 12 Under+115? 3 weight?[/QUOTE] Where did you get that #? Clobbering time with that one IMO at least.
One of my locals that uses a website. Has 12 OVER -135...uses 20 cent line on futures. Only problem is he only let's me bet a dime on futures I just found out...

27 weight at UN 12 +100 "HIT IT AGAIN" ...........Hans Gruber
[QUOTE=Fezzik;1492]thegreek has this +120......I'd two weight it +115 or higher.....[/QUOTE] Fezzik I like the pick. But I'd like to know what your reasoning is behind it. Thanks in advance.
I played it U12 -135 earlier and nice to see Fez on it. I played it for several reasons: 1) I simply don't see any team going 13-3 this year 2) Non-divsion sched: H: Atl, Balt, Tenn, Car, Jack A: Den, TB, Indy, NO, Houston. Pretty tough in my book. I think Buf looks like a disaster but Mia and NYJ should be improved, though NYJ have rookie QB. 3) if Brady goes down, they're DONE with O'Connell at QB. Personally, I think folks still have in mind the run two years ago - just don't see it. Can't see 13-3 with that schedule or even 12-4.
Aging Defense, Injured QB.........obvious play, same as last year And this year, NO BACKUP QB!!
This defense has been old since the 2006 season when they wore down in the AFC Championship Game in Indy. Backup this year is between Kevin O'Connell and Brian Hoyer (Mich St Rookie).
[QUOTE=lvmike32;1505]I played it U12 -135 earlier and nice to see Fez on it. I played it for several reasons: 1) I simply don't see any team going 13-3 this year 2) Non-divsion sched: H: Atl, Balt, Tenn, Car, Jack A: Den, TB, Indy, NO, Houston. Pretty tough in my book. I think Buf looks like a disaster but Mia and NYJ should be improved, though NYJ have rookie QB. 3) if Brady goes down, they're DONE with O'Connell at QB. Personally, I think folks still have in mind the run two years ago - just don't see it. Can't see 13-3 with that schedule or even 12-4.[/QUOTE] FYI, O'Connell got released today. I am a huge patriots fan and think this is a solid play. They may have some problems with their linebackers and secondary. Bruschi retired today and losing Vrabel isn't going to help. They have some real patch work linebackes. The secondary has a mixture of aging veterans an young inexperienced players. Lastly, if T.Brady goes down the year is finished.