NFC + 3 vs AFC in SB

NFC + 3 vs AFC in SB I saw this bet available today. Will the Colts be bigger favorites than 3 vs. the Saints or Vikings? I would guess 2.5 vs Saints, 3 vs Vikings. Am I way off? What do you guys think would be the Superbowl lines? If the Colts would not be bigger favorites than 3, this would essentially be a free roll on the Jets to win Sunday.

I bet this myself last week.....looks like the books have it lined like this(actually did see this at one book in vegas) indy-3 vs saints indy -4 vs vikings saints -6 vs jets vikins -4.5 vs jets

If it's Colts vs. Saints, I really think the market will make the line less than three fairly quickly. Much will depend on whether the Saints, Vikes and/or Colts look particularly dominating on Sunday. If the Saints dominate and the Colts just squeek by the Jets, I see it as Pick in the SB. But what about the current SB Total, which I understand is being offered at 50 in LV? Assuming the Jets don't get in, doesn't the SB have the looks of a shootout, with an O/U of around 54?

I think you are about right... The market has the Colts at +130 (43.4%) to win the Superbowl. They are 75.5% favored (-310 at Matchbook) on the moneyline this Sunday. This would make them 57.5% to win the Superbowl if they get there. 57.5% = -135 moneyline, or about a -3.

If Favre and the Vikings pull the upset in NO, there's no possible way the betting markets will install or leave them as four point dogs to Indy. I would expect that # to be Indy -2.5/-3, unless the Colts win 42-3ish over the J-E-T-S.

[QUOTE=Tcovers;15266]If Favre and the Vikings pull the upset in NO, there's no possible way the betting markets will install or leave them as four point dogs to Indy. I would expect that # to be Indy -2.5/-3, unless the Colts win 42-3ish over the J-E-T-S.[/QUOTE] Depending on how dominating a team may look on Sunday or lack thereof, it could change the line by 1-2 points compared to where they are now, IMO.