NFL Division Playoffs Bets

NFL Division Playoffs Bets 101 Bengals 4.5 3 weight 106 BALT -6.5 3 weight
102 Cincy/HOU UNDER 43.5 5 weight I'd bet this one ASAP
6 point TEASER 3 weight 106 Balt -.5 104 GB -1.5 (ok to play -2)
My apologies to BKeiller in advance for breaching protocol and not starting a new thread ... however, this is pertinent to Fezz's weekend advice posted herein ... What is the significance of a 3X straight bet on BAL AND playing the same team in the teaser with GRB? Is BAL not as strong as originally posted? Is GRB virtually assured of winning their game at -1.5/-2? Also note little or no movement on the CIN/HOU total of 43.5 at the strong position of 5X. For what it's worth, the margin of victory chart for 110 Wildcard games tells the following story: 22 games decided by 1-3 points ... 25 games 4-7 points ... 13 games 8-13 points ... [B]50 games by 14 or more[/B]

It's not a protocol, in that Fezz has specifically said it doesn't bother him, provided the content is germane to the thread, at least. "Good call," not so much. Don't think of weight as an X. A five-weight bet doesn't necessarily mean a 5-unit bet. In the case of Cincy/Houston under, expect a 2-weight playback on the over at post. His higher-weight plays are usually in anticipation of a line move.
I'm surprised the market hasn't banged cin UNDER yet. Cin has been holding ALL opponents to 20 or less the last 2 months. Hou cannot score lately. ADD 108 Wash +3-115, 4 weight. LOVE Wash with their gimpy QB here. Sea has not won a true road game in regulation by more than 4 all year long. Despite being red hot, their last 2 road games they lost @ Mia, and trailed a completely trashed Chic team 10-14 with 2 min to play, where they were +350 live wagering to win. And Now they are LAYING 3 vs. the 2nd toughest road game they have had all year???
HOU to score 1st -145 to win 1 unit. Cin 1h team points, UN 10-120 1 unit.
ADD 105 Indy 7.5 1 unit 106 Balt 1q -.5 1 unit 105 Indy 1h TEAM TOTAL UND 10-120 1 weight. 107 Sea TEAM TOTAL UNDER 24.5 2 weight.
ADD 105 Indy 7.5, add 1 unit so 2 units in total now 106 BALT to score 1st -150 1 unit 106 BALT to get 1st TD -170 1 unit 105/106 Luck to throw 1st INT -200 1 unit vs.Flacco INDY to punt 1st -180 1 unit. BALT 3Q -175 to win 1 unit. Even with Indy getting the ball 1st, I expect them to do nothing early in this game..............
wASH 1q +.5 -150 to win 2 units. One great bet IMO>