NFL kickoff moving back to the 35

NFL kickoff moving back to the 35 Even though scoring has continued to increase year after year in the NFL with this new (old) rule there will be impact on scoring especially with the stronger legged kickers now. The last year(1993) the kickoff was at the 35, 27.1% of kickoffs were touchbacks. Last year it was only 16.1%. I can only see that 27.1% number rise with the stringer kickers. This will strongly effect the number of returned TDs and average field position for all teams. Here is a link with a nice breakdown of the change. [URL="https://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=8859"]https://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=8859[/URL] My question is how much do you guys see the line makers adjusting their totals for this next season? I could see up to a fg per game but could the better offences offset it?

Here's a look at the five years before the change in 93 and five years after. For starters, the number of touchbacks per game dropped from 1.8 to 1.1. For a 256-game season, that equates to 179 more touchbacks — and thus 179 fewer kick returns. From 1989 through 1993, the league saw 33 touchdowns on kickoff returns. In the five years after the change, the number doubled. In 1993, the last year of the ball being kicked off from the 35, 27.1 percent of all kicks were touchbacks. In 2010, the last year of the ball being kicked off from the 30, 16.1 percent of all kicks were touchbacks. [URL="https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/24/a-look-at-the-potential-impact-of-the-kickoff-change/"]https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/24/a-look-at-the-potential-impact-of-the-kickoff-change/[/URL]

Less scoring because the drive starts deeper than before. When doing your totals trends, this skews that, with a greater effect when a team's opponent has a stronger kicker. Teams that have bad offenses are less likely to get those 45-55-yd field goals if they are now 50-60 yard field goals. (This is not to say that the average drive starts exactly five yards deeper. Do we have numbers on that?) To a much smaller degree, more plays per game because the lack of kickoff returns means more time to run plays. This effect is pretty negligible.

Back in '06, the aveerage starting position for the receiving team after a FULL kickoff (onside kicks not included) from the 30 was the 26 yard line. Maybe the average goes back a yard with more touchbacks. But if the defense stops the receiving team, it means that the defense will get BETTER field position. And roughly 60-65% of drives don't end with offensive scores.