NFL parlay

NFL parlay Colts Ml parlay with Saints Ml Even money.... good luck

Why do you recommend a parlay instead of straight bets or IF-bets? I suspect you believe the fallacy that if bigs favorites are unlikely to lose then parlaying big favorites is a good idea.

[QUOTE=KimLee;15693]Why do you recommend a parlay instead of straight bets or IF-bets? I suspect you believe the fallacy that if bigs favorites are unlikely to lose then parlaying big favorites is a good idea.[/QUOTE] how would you do it kimlee?

[QUOTE=jimmydingle;15709]how would you do it?[/QUOTE] It depends on my analysis. If I thought that playoff odds are deflated because the public likes to bet underdogs straight up, then I would make two straight bets. If I thought that the two teams had similar correlated offenses that would likely both win or both lose then I might consider IF-bets. I might even parlay the two teams and also parlay their opponents. But I fail to see why I would do this on the moneyline instead of straight up. What we have here is a suspicious recommendation to parlay two T.V. favorites. There is no reasoning nor record-keeping. I think the logic is that a -400 team won't lose. Therefore if you parlay a bunch of -400 teams together then you won't lose.

I tried to get as much of a Large bet 3.5.. units on the Saints + or Even all week before the game. Did with success with teasers for the most part, on Sunday prior to game1.. I felt the Public was betting ML's on dogs and thought that was the Best bet ML/MLfav at the TIME.. Also Late I made Straight bets on both Dogs + 8jets +4vikes.. So you can see I Really liked saints all week not willing to lay points or more than 3pts... It worked out and I think All bets here were ok???

There are several tell-tale signs of bad advice here. [QUOTE=bjrollo;15809]Large bet 3.5 units ... .[/QUOTE] 1) You do not keep a record or usually scale your bets. But you describe this one as "Large" (capitalized) and 3.5 units. That's pretty meaningless. [QUOTE=bjrollo]It worked out ...[/QUOTE] 2) You are results-oriented. [QUOTE=bjrollo]All bets here were ok???[/QUOTE] No, you still haven't answered the basic question of why you bet a parlay instead of straight bets.