NFL WEEK 15 bets

[QUOTE=bkeiller;55622]Computer Bob keeps Fezz's record for us on here (Thanks Bob) and the short answer is yes last year was tough as well. Here is last years per Bob's post: Final record for 2011-12 football season (also corrected a previous error in weighted records): W/L: One-wgt: 57-65-6, Two-wgt: 57-62-6, Three-wgt: 22-19-1, Four-wgt: 2-7-0, Five-wgt: 1-0-0 Overall weighted W/L: 250-274-21, 47.7%, -66.36u Overall straight bets unweighted W/L: 139-153-13, 47.6% Overall teasers unweighted W/L: 4-5 Overall parlays unweighted W/L: 0-3 NFL Season + Playoffs record: 223-226, 49.7%, (114-115-11 unweighted), -25.11u NFL Regular season win totals: 3-5-1 unweighted, -8.75u CFB record: 29-52, 35.8%, (19-28-1 unweighted), -25.25u CFB Regular season win totals: 3-1 unweighted, +1.80u CFL record: 6-7, 46.2%, (2-3-0 unweighted), -1.70u NFLX record: 4-7-1 unweighted, -7.35u[/QUOTE] Thank you again bkeiller. I am simply trying to determine which numbers to put in the Kelly Criterian formula so I can determine proper bet size. This has been very helpful.

I finally had a winner (Titans) in what for me was the worst nfl weekend of the year (many the same plays as Fezzik's). The good news is that one can only have 1 "worst weekend of the year" so with a glass half full we move enthusiastically into week 16... Best wishes for the Holiday Season to all... Londo

Stopped the bleeding tonight, let's finish strong.

Thanks for the winner Fezzick! Actually turned into a +EV week for me as I went extra large on the titans and cashed a 3 team teaser with the jets stealers and cowboys. What a beautifull result tonight!

RedSquare - dont put teams playing each other in the same teaser. Even though you won this time it is not the way you want to do it. You are restricting both teams pointspread result to the same 12, 13 or 14 pt window. Play each in an independent teaser and you will do better than playing them together.

Thank you, frankb22! Im still learning! Just happy to cash a winner, especially with those nice +150 odds :)

[QUOTE=RedSquare;55644]Thank you, frankb22! Im still learning! Just happy to cash a winner, especially with those nice +150 odds :)[/QUOTE] If it was a 6 pt 3 teamer you should be getting +160. If your guy isnt giving this I would curtail these bets or find another shop.

[QUOTE=bkeiller;55647]If it was a 6 pt 3 teamer you should be getting +160. If your guy isnt giving this I would curtail these bets or find another shop.[/QUOTE] Thank you bkeiller! I will be sure to ask my guy for some increased odds. The vast wealth of knowledge here at LVASports is truly astounding. So much more than just a picks site...

1.60 on a 3-tm 6 point nfl teaser is garbage. Anything less than +1.70...ideally +1.80...should be avoided. Better to play a 2-teamer at 11-10. Londo