NFL Week 4 (6-3 +2.7u YTD)

NFL Week 4 (6-3 +2.7u YTD) 205 Baltimore +2.5 1.5 units 207 Cincinnati -3.5 -115 1 unit I have at least one more for next week but have to wait. Also, based on how injuries play out in NE/Balt, that game could be worth more.

Cincy moved after I played but before I posted. So it should be graded [B][U]-4 -110[/U][/B]. Sorry.

Sharps love Cincinnati, so the line will rise. I don't like Cincinnati, but I HATE Cleveland!

Thanks Pick 4.

224 Denver +3 -105 1.5 units -- Denver has played a slightly easier schedule so a little conflicted about the weight of the play. Cowboys offense looks good statistically, but visually Romo does not. Home field in Denver should help a lot on Sunday and if Romo makes same mistakes he made vs. NYG and Car, Broncos win straight up. My raw number says Denver is the favorite. After some adjustments I make to the number, I still make them favorites. That's why I am playing a little more than a regular play despite the soft schedule. I will have one more, probably on Sunday. Good luck.

[QUOTE=Old School;3827]Sharps love Cincinnati, so the line will rise. I don't like Cincinnati, but I HATE Cleveland![/QUOTE] I have Cleveland as worst team in the NFL. I actually made a note to go back and look at just how bad they are vs. others of similar stature. All that said, it is still a division game so I actually underplayed the road chalk vs. my number. I wish I had known the big early money was coming in on the same side as I would have played it for more.

One total 221/222 St. Louis/San Francisco Under 37 1 unit Still waiting on one side.

is it Cleveland or TB???, or........ [QUOTE=Pick 4;3940]I have Cleveland as worst team in the NFL. I actually made a note to go back and look at just how bad they are vs. others of similar stature. All that said, it is still a division game so I actually underplayed the road chalk vs. my number. I wish I had known the big early money was coming in on the same side as I would have played it for more.[/QUOTE] FWIW.....HBO NFL program..all of them think Cleveland is the worst, with one exception on TB. GL

Clev vs. TB (neutral field) To clarify, I meant worst historically. I make TB a small favorite on a neutral field, raw number. Subjectively, I'd have to lower it. Browns offense is just terrible. Maybe Anderson perks them up this week. He's done it before. TB has now made QB switch as well and there's not much to go on with this guy, so who knows if he is an upgrade (doubtful).

225 San Diego +6 -110 1 unit -- SD is healthier than they've been. I have them as a very live dog in this game. At one point I thought this thing may get to 7, and perhaps it does later. Who knows. Personally, I bought to 7.5, but to make things simple here, I'm posting the market line. GL.